Match Info

COLOMBIA: PRIMERA B - APERTURA - ROUND 15

Date: 29 April 2023, Saturday


	Bogotá		Fortaleza CEIF

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.95	2.4
	2.7	3.1	2.6
	2.96	3.2	2.54
	2.8	2.88	2.45
	2.82	3.08	2.46
	2.75	3.05	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↓ (2.97)	3.04 ↓ (3.26)	2.48 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bogotá
33%

Draw
30.1%

Fortaleza CEIF
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

28.8%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

28.9%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bogotá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Fortaleza CEIF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bogotá than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Bogotá - Fortaleza CEIF Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bogotá won 3.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Bogotá won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Bogotá won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bogotá FC
Colombian Primera B
24.04.23	Tigres - Bogotá	0:0 ✺
19.04.23	Bogotá - Orsomarso	3:0 ✺
16.04.23	Valledupar - Bogotá	0:2 ✺
10.04.23	Bogotá - Leones	4:3 ✺
03.04.23	Cúcuta Deportivo - Bogotá	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 TWWWL
- Fortaleza CEIF
Colombian Primera B
23.04.23	Fortaleza CEIF - Patriotas	1:1 ✺
20.04.23	Fortaleza CEIF - Valledupar	5:1 ✺
16.04.23	Real Cartagena - Fortaleza CEIF	0:0 ✺
13.04.23	Boca Juniors de Cali - Fortaleza CEIF	0:0 ✺
09.04.23	Internacional de Palmira - Fortaleza CEIF	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
01.08.22	Fortaleza CEIF - Bogotá	1:2
31.05.22	Bogotá - Fortaleza CEIF	0:2
17.05.22	Fortaleza CEIF - Bogotá	0:1
27.02.22	Bogotá - Fortaleza CEIF	0:1
04.12.21	Fortaleza CEIF - Bogotá	1:2
05.11.21	Bogotá - Fortaleza CEIF	1:4
14.09.21	Fortaleza CEIF - Bogotá	3:0

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