Match Info

COLOMBIA: COPA COLOMBIA - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 6 March 2024, Wednesday


	Bogotá		Once Caldas

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.6	2.05	Watch
	3.25	3.25	1.98
	3.6	3.5	1.95	Watch
	3.55	3.3	2.16
	3.55	3.3	2.12
	3.25	3.3	2
	3.44	3.34	2.05	Watch
	3.25	3.35	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↓ (5.4)	3.37 ↓ (3.94)	2.05 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bogotá
27.3%

Draw
27.5%

Once Caldas
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.9%

23.2%

59.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.8%

23.1%

60.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bogotá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bogotá's performance.

Once Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Once Caldas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bogotá than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bogotá that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (+14.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Once Caldas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bogotá - Once Caldas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Once Caldas is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bogotá FC
Colombian Primera B
02.03.24	Internacional de Palmira - Bogotá	3:0 ✺
27.02.24	Bogotá - Atlético Huila	2:1 ✺
23.02.24	Real Cartagena - Bogotá	3:0 ✺
16.02.24	Bogotá - Atlético Cali	2:2 ✺
10.02.24	Boca Juniors de Cali - Bogotá	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LWLTW
- Once Caldas
Colombian Primera A
01.03.24	Deportivo Cali - Once Caldas	0:1 ✺
27.02.24	Millonarios - Once Caldas	0:2 ✺
22.02.24	Once Caldas - Deportivo Pereira	1:2 ✺
18.02.24	Jaguares de Córdoba - Once Caldas	3:0 ✺
14.02.24	Once Caldas - Patriotas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WWLLW

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