Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 1 August 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Hernando Siles (La Paz)

Referee: Guerrero G. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Brazil	ESPN 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Portugal	Sport TV3


	Bolívar		Athletico Paranaense

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.6	4.2	Watch
	1.85	3.3	4.2
	1.87	3.55	4.2
	1.91	3.45	4.51
	1.75	3.4	3.8
	1.87	3.45	4.3	Watch
	1.9	3.35	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 (1.86)	3.44 ↓ (3.52)	4.17 ↑ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bolívar
50.4%

Draw
27.2%

Athletico Paranaense
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

26.5%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

25.5%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolívar than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	15.4%	15.4%

Bolívar - Athletico Paranaense Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Bolívar will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Athletico PR will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bolívar: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lampe C. (G) 3. Bentaberry B. 22. Ferreyra N. 4. Sagredo J. 8. Bejarano Di. 15. Villamil G. 23. Justiniano L. 10. Bruno Savio 19. Da Costa F. 9. Fernandez R. 17. Rodriguez P.	1. Bento (G) 2. Khellven 3. Ze Ivaldo 4. Kaique Rocha 30. Esquivel L. 20. Vidal A. 5. Fernandinho 26. Erick 14. Canobbio A. 9. Vitor Roque 19. Thiago Andrade
Substitutes
18. Algaranaz C. 28. Arancibia A. (G) 30. Chavez Cruz L. L. 13. Herrera J. 29. Paz L. 5. Quinteros J. 14. Rocha Y. 2. Sagredo J. 20. Saucedo F. 24. Uzeda J. 11. Vaca R. 16. Villarroel M.	32. Arriagada L. 78. Caca 28. Cuello 17. Hugo Moura 23. Leo Linck (G) 22. Madson 7. Marcelo Cirino 42. Matheus Felipe 92. Pablo 48. Vinicius Kaue 8. Vitor Bueno 10. Zapelli B.
Coaches
San Jose B.	Carvalho W.

Preview

1st leg.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Athletico PR could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bolívar is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bolívar La Paz
Bolivian Division Profesional
29.07.23	Oriente Petrolero - Bolívar	1:1 ✺
23.07.23	Bolívar - The Strongest	3:0 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
20.07.23	Real Tomayapo - Bolívar	1:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
16.07.23	Royal Pari - Bolívar	0:0 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
11.07.23	Bolívar - Libertad Gran Mamoré	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWLTW
- Athletico Paranaense
Brazilian Serie A
29.07.23	Athletico Paranaense - Cruzeiro	3:3 ✺
23.07.23	Vasco da Gama - Athletico Paranaense	0:2 ✺
16.07.23	Athletico Paranaense - Bahia	2:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
12.07.23	Athletico Paranaense - Flamengo	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
09.07.23	Fortaleza - Athletico Paranaense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TWWLL

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