Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 4

Date: 5 November 2024, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Renato Dall'Ara (Bologna) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Aghayev A. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 7, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv Football
Argentina	17:00	ESPN 4
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Sport Austria 6
Belgium	21:00	Pickx+ Sports 7, Pickx+ Sports 7, Play Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 4, Moja TV
Brazil	17:00	Max
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	17:00	ESPN 4
China	04:00	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	21:00	Viaplay
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	21:00	CANAL+ Sport, Free
Germany	21:00	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 9
Hungary	21:00	RTL+
Iceland	20:00	Stod 2 Sport 6
India	01:30	Sony LIV
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 254
Kosovo	21:00	ART Motion Sport 1
Malta	21:00	TSN Malta 2
Mexico	14:00	HBO Max
Montenegro	21:00	Arena Sport 3
Myanmar	02:30	Canal+ Myanmar
New Zealand	09:00	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play
Pakistan	01:00	Tapmad
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect
Poland	21:00	CANAL+ Sport 360
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 6
Romania	22:00	Prima Sport PPV 3
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
South America	—	ESPN 4 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 8, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 6
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 6
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	16:00	Inter
Vietnam	03:00	TV 360
International	20:00	Disney+, JioTV app


	Bologna		Monaco

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.3	2.55
	2.75	3.2	2.65
	2.82	3.35	2.62	Watch
	2.95	3.35	2.63
	2.78	3.26	2.71	Watch
	2.88	3.2	2.62
	2.94	3.4	2.59
	2.9	3.35	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.72)	3.3 ↓ (3.42)	2.62 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bologna
33.9%

Draw
29.2%

Monaco
36.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.3%

28%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

29.3%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.3%	34.4%	44.3%

Bologna - Monaco Predictions

Users Predictions: 59 users predict this event. Bologna will win (votes: 13 - 22%). Monaco will win (votes: 27 - 45.8%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 32.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monaco: 33.1% – 58.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Skorupski L. (G) 3. Posch S. 31. Beukema S. 26. Lucumi J. 33. Miranda J. 8. Freuler R. (C) 6. Moro N. 14. Iling Junior S. 80. Fabbian G. 11. Ndoye D. 9. Castro S.	1. Majecki R. (G) 2. Vanderson 17. Singo W. 5. Kehrer T. (C) 13. Mawissa Elebi C. 88. Magassa S. 15. Camara L. 11. Akliouche M. 10. Golovin A. 7. Ben Seghir E. 36. Embolo B.
Substitutes
23. Bagnolini N. (G) 15. Casale N. 16. Corazza T. 24. Dallinga T. 19. Ferguson L. 2. Holm E. 22. Lykogiannis C. 21. Odgaard J. 7. Orsolini R. 18. Pobega T. 34. Ravaglia F. (G) 82. Urbanski K.	42. Bouabre S. 12. Caio Henrique 27. Diatta K. 21. Ilenikhena G. 16. Kohn P. (G) 50. Lienard Y. (G) 8. Matazo E. 41. Michal L. 18. Minamino T. 44. Nibombe S. 20. Ouattara K. 4. Teze J.
Coaches
Italiano V.	Hutter A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Moro N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Moro N. ↓, Pobega T. ↑,
53', Fabbian G. 🟨,
68', Iling Junior S. ↓, Orsolini R. ↑,
68', Castro S. ↓, Dallinga T. ↑,
71', Ben Seghir E. ↓, Minamino T. ↑,
75', Camara L. 🟨,
77', Mawissa Elebi C. 🟨,
78', Mawissa Elebi C. ↓, Caio Henrique ↑,
78', Camara L. ↓, Matazo E. ↑,
81', Fabbian G. ↓, Ferguson L. ↑,
87', 0 - 1, Kehrer T. ⚽, Embolo B. (A),
88', Lucumi J. 🟨,
90+2', Miranda J. ↓, Odgaard J. ↑,

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Bologna could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Bologna: Cambiaghi N. (Knee Injury) El Azzouzi O. (Knee Injury) Erlic M. (Hamstring Injury) Ferguson L. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Monaco: Balogun F. (Shoulder Injury) Coulibaly M. (Knee Injury) Diop E. (Broken Leg) Salisu M. (Hamstring Injury) Zakaria D. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Bologna: Aebischer M. (Muscle Injury) Lykogiannis C. (Injury) Ndoye D. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bologna won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3

Including matches at home between the teams Bologna won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bologna FC
Italian Serie A
02.11.24	Bologna - Lecce	1:0 ✺
29.10.24	Cagliari - Bologna	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
22.10.24	Aston Villa - Bologna	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
19.10.24	Genoa - Bologna	2:2 ✺
06.10.24	Bologna - Parma	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLTT
- AS Monaco
French Ligue 1
01.11.24	Monaco - Angers	0:1 ✺
27.10.24	Nice - Monaco	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
22.10.24	Monaco - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	5:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
18.10.24	Monaco - Lille	0:0 ✺
05.10.24	Rennes - Monaco	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
28.07.23	Bologna - Monaco	2:3

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