Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 18 September 2024, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Renato Dall'Ara (Bologna)

Referee: Saggi R. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus ROA, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	Fox Sports
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport Austria
Azerbaijan	CBC Sport
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
Brazil	Claro TV+, Max, Sky+, TNT, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	BTV Action, Voyo
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	ESPN Premium
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu 2
France	Canal+ Live 2, New World TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Hungary	RTL+, Sport 1
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Sony LIV
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
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Japan	Wowow Prime
Kazakhstan	Qazsport, Q Sport Arena
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	TSN Malta 7
Mexico	Caliente TV
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New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	SuperSport Football Plus
North-central-america	ESPN Norte, SportsMax Caribbean
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Pakistan	Tapmad
Philippines	beIN Connect
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Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
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Slovakia	Voyo
South-america	ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 3, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
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Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 2, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 4, TNT Sports Digital Exclusive, Virgin Media More
Usa	CBS, FuboTV, Paramount+, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
Venezuela	Inter
Vietnam	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360
World	Disney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app, SportsMax App


	Bologna		Shakhtar Donetsk

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.5	4
	1.95	3.4	4
	1.98	3.6	3.95
	1.98	3.55	4.13
	2	3.53	4.06	Watch
	2	3.4	4
	2.02	3.6	4.11
	1.98	3.6	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.84)	3.52 ↓ (3.79)	4.03 ↓ (4.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Network on TV: UniMás

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Current Win Probability

Bologna
48.7%

Draw
27.3%

Shakhtar Donetsk
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

25.3%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

24.8%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Shakhtar Donetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.4%	21.1%	24.6%

Bologna - Shakhtar Donetsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 53 users predict this event. Bologna will win (votes: 28 - 52.8%). Shakhtar will win (votes: 14 - 26.4%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 20.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bologna: 39.4% – 66.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Skorupski L. (G) 3. Posch S. 31. Beukema S. 26. Lucumi J. 22. Lykogiannis C. 80. Fabbian G. 8. Freuler R. 6. Moro N. 7. Orsolini R. (C) 9. Castro S. 11. Ndoye D.	31. Riznyk D. (G) 26. Konoplya Y. 5. Bondar V. 22. Matviienko M. (C) 13. Pedrinho 21. Bondarenko A. 8. Kryskiv D. 10. Sudakov G. 11. Zubkov O. 14. Sikan D. 7. Eguinaldo
Substitutes
20. Aebischer M. 15. Casale N. 16. Corazza T. 24. Dallinga T. 5. Erlic M. 2. Holm E. 14. Iling Junior S. 33. Miranda J. 21. Odgaard J. 18. Pobega T. 34. Ravaglia F. (G) 82. Urbanski K.	16. Azarovi I. 72. Fesyun K. (G) 4. Franjic B. 18. Ghram A. 30. Marlon Gomes 29. Nazaryna Y. 39. Newerton 38. Pedrinho 9. Shved M. 6. Stepanenko T. 17. Tobias V. 2. Traore L.
Coaches
Italiano V.	Pusic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Posch S. 🟨,
4', Sudakov G. (Pen),
12', Bondar V. 🟨,
35', Sikan D. ↓, Newerton ↑,
41', Konoplya Y. ↓, Tobias V. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Castro S. 🟨,
65', Orsolini R. ↓, Iling Junior S. ↑,
65', Moro N. ↓, Pobega T. ↑,
65', Castro S. ↓, Dallinga T. ↑,
70', Tobias V. 🟨,
78', Fabbian G. ↓, Urbanski K. ↑,
78', Lykogiannis C. ↓, Miranda J. ↑,
79', Bondarenko A. ↓, Stepanenko T. ↑,
79', Sudakov G. ↓, Marlon Gomes ↑,
79', Zubkov O. ↓, Traore L. ↑,
84', Stepanenko T. 🟨,
88', Marlon Gomes 🟨,

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Bologna is a favorite.

There will not play in Bologna: Cambiaghi N. (Knee Injury) Ferguson L. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Bologna: El Azzouzi O. (Knee Injury) Holm E. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Shakhtar: Puzankov T. (Knee Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bologna FC
Italian Serie A
14.09.24	Como - Bologna	2:2 ✺
31.08.24	Bologna - Empoli	1:1 ✺
25.08.24	Napoli - Bologna	3:0 ✺
18.08.24	Bologna - Udinese	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Mallorca - Bologna	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TTLTT
- Shakhtar Donetsk
Ukrainian Premier League
14.09.24	Shakhtar Donetsk - Karpaty Lviv	5:2 ✺
24.08.24	Oleksandriya - Shakhtar Donetsk	4:3 ✺
18.08.24	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:1 ✺
11.08.24	Shakhtar Donetsk - Polissya Zhytomyr	0:1 ✺
04.08.24	Vorskla Poltava - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWLW

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