Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 21

Date: 11 December 2023, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
United-kingdom	Sky Sports


	Portsmouth		Bolton Wanderers

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	3.2	Watch
	2.2	3.3	3.2
	2.25	3.3	3.2	Watch
	2.25	3.49	3.28
	2.26	3.49	3.28
	2.2	3.3	3.1
	2.22	3.32	3.22	Watch
	2.2	3.4	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.23)	3.38 ↑ (3.33)	3.2 ↑ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portsmouth
42.4%

Draw
28%

Bolton Wanderers
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

28.2%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

29.2%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portsmouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

The chances for Bolton Wanderers have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.2%	6.2%	37.5%

Portsmouth - Bolton Wanderers Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Portsmouth will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Bolton will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Portsmouth: 32% – 80.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Norris W. (G) 17. Rafferty J. 20. Raggett S. 18. Shaughnessy C. 21. Sparkes J. 8. Robertson A. 7. Pack M. (C) 25. Kamara A. 16. Morrell J. 32. Lane P. 19. Yengi K.	1. Baxter N. (G) 2. Jones G. 5. Santos R. (C) 18. Toal E. 8. Sheehan J. 12. Cogley J. 4. Thomason G. 19. Maghoma P. 27. Williams R. 9. Bodvarsson J. 10. Charles D.
Substitutes
24. Devlin T. 29. Martin J. 15. Saydee C. 31. Schofield R. (G) 2. Swanson Z. 4. Towler R. 11. Whyte G.	14. Adeboyejo V. 22. Dempsey K. 15. Forrester W. 3. Iredale J. 35. Jerome C. 7. Mendes Gomes C. 16. Morley A.
Coaches
Mousinho J.	Evatt I.

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Portsmouth won 2.

Portsmouth is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bolton in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Portsmouth could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Portsmouth will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Portsmouth won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Portsmouth won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portsmouth FC
English League One
02.12.23	Northampton Town - Portsmouth	0:3 ✺
28.11.23	Burton Albion - Portsmouth	0:2 ✺
25.11.23	Portsmouth - Blackpool	0:4 ✺
11.11.23	Portsmouth - Charlton Athletic	2:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
07.11.23	Leyton Orient - Portsmouth	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLTW
- Bolton Wanderers
English EFL Trophy
05.12.23	Bolton Wanderers - Port Vale	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
02.12.23	Bolton Wanderers - Harrogate Town	5:1 ✺
English League One
28.11.23	Oxford United - Bolton Wanderers	0:0 ✺
25.11.23	Bolton Wanderers - Exeter City	7:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
14.11.23	Stockport County - Bolton Wanderers	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
28.02.23	Portsmouth - Bolton Wanderers	3:1
14.01.23	Bolton Wanderers - Portsmouth	3:0
English EFL Trophy
10.01.23	Bolton Wanderers - Portsmouth	1:0
English League One
05.04.22	Bolton Wanderers - Portsmouth	1:1
30.10.21	Portsmouth - Bolton Wanderers	1:0
18.01.20	Bolton Wanderers - Portsmouth	0:1
28.09.19	Portsmouth - Bolton Wanderers	1:0

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