Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 29

Date: 7 March 2023, Tuesday

Location: Portman Road (Ipswich)

Referee: Swabey L. (Eng)


	Ipswich Town		Accrington Stanley

	1	X	2
	1.18	7	15
	1.2	6.75	13
	1.21	6.5	15
	1.17	6.6	14
	1.18	7.42	16.51
	1.17	6.5	17
	1.17	7.1	16	Watch
	1.17	6.8	14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.18 ↓ (1.28)	6.83 ↑ (5.23)	15.06 ↑ (9.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ipswich Town
79.9%

Draw
13.8%

Accrington Stanley
6.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.1%

17.6%

10.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ipswich Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ipswich Town's performance.

Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	11.1%	5.6%

Ipswich Town - Accrington Stanley Predictions

Users Predictions: Ipswich Town will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs) and 20).

Ipswich has the most likely position - 3 (35.02%), has project points - 88, has currently - 66, has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of prom. playoffs (73%), has a chance of promoted (43%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

Accrington has the most likely position - 20 (16.27%), has project points - 46, has currently - 34, has a chance of relegated (35%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 17, importance 51, match rating 34. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ipswich won 4.

Ipswich is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Accrington is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Accrington could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Accrington have a series of home games.

In this match Ipswich is indisputable favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Ipswich won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Ipswich won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ipswich Town
English League One
04.03.23	Ipswich Town - Burton Albion	4:0 ✺
25.02.23	Milton Keynes Dons - Ipswich Town	0:1 ✺
18.02.23	Ipswich Town - Forest Green Rovers	4:0 ✺
14.02.23	Bristol Rovers - Ipswich Town	0:0 ✺
11.02.23	Ipswich Town - Sheffield Wednesday	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWWTT
- Accrington Stanley
English League One
04.03.23	Accrington Stanley - Forest Green Rovers	2:1 ✺
25.02.23	Burton Albion - Accrington Stanley	0:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
22.02.23	Accrington Stanley - Bolton Wanderers	0:2 ✺
English League One
18.02.23	Accrington Stanley - Shrewsbury Town	1:0 ✺
14.02.23	Accrington Stanley - Wycombe Wanderers	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
03.09.22	Accrington Stanley - Ipswich Town	0:2
22.01.22	Ipswich Town - Accrington Stanley	2:1
02.10.21	Accrington Stanley - Ipswich Town	2:1
02.03.21	Accrington Stanley - Ipswich Town	1:2
17.10.20	Ipswich Town - Accrington Stanley	2:0
11.01.20	Ipswich Town - Accrington Stanley	4:1
20.10.19	Accrington Stanley - Ipswich Town	2:0

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