The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bristol Rovers 15.9%
Draw 22.7%
Ipswich Town 61.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.5%
26.6%
48.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26%
25.1%
46%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bristol Rovers's form might have worsened.
Ipswich Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ipswich Town's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bristol Rovers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (-15.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ipswich Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
15.8%
15.8%
68.4%
Bristol Rovers - Ipswich Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Ipswich will win (votes: 13 - 68.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Ipswich: 47.5% – 89.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs)).
Bristol Rovers has the most likely position - 18 (12.24%), has project points - 53, has currently - 37, has a small chance of relegated (10%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Ipswich has the most likely position - 3 (21.52%), has project points - 85, has currently - 56, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (73%), has a chance of promoted (35%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).
This event has small quality23, importance31, small match rating27. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 1.
Bristol Rovers has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Ipswich is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Ipswich could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Ipswich is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Ipswich to win the game is with odds 1.63.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4-13.
Including matches at home between the teams Bristol Rovers won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.