Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 15

Date: 19 December 2025, Friday

Location: Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund)

Referee: Jablonski S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Borussia Dortmund		Borussia Mönchengladbach

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.75	6	Watch
	1.47	4.7	6.4	Watch
	1.52	4.8	6.37
	1.51	4.72	5.84	Watch
	1.5	4.33	5.5
	1.49	4.85	6.52	Watch
	1.5	4.5	6.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 (1.5)	4.66 ↓ (4.72)	6.14 ↑ (5.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borussia Dortmund
63.9%

Draw
20.5%

Borussia Mönchengladbach
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

20.2%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

19.4%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Borussia Mönchengladbach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Mönchengladbach than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.6%	8.7%	8.7%

Borussia Dortmund - Borussia Mönchengladbach Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Borussia M (5.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Borussia D (2.29) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Borussia M (2.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

1X2, 2nd Half - Borussia D (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Borussia Dortmund will win (56 of 67 users predict this - 83.58%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.71% – 92.45%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Borussia Dortmund will win (26 of 31 users predict this - 83.87%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 36 Selected Experts predict this event. Borussia D (votes: 28 - 77.8%). Borussia M (votes: 4 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 4 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kobel G. (G) 25. Sule N. 23. Can E. (C) 4. Schlotterbeck N. 26. Ryerson J. 8. Nmecha F. 13. Gross P. 10. Brandt J. 24. Svensson D. 27. Adeyemi K. 9. Guirassy S.	33. Nicolas M. (G) 16. Sander P. 30. Elvedi N. 4. Diks K. 29. Scally J. 27. Reitz R. (C) 6. Engelhardt Y. 20. Netz L. 13. Reyna G. 10. Neuhaus F. 15. Tabakovic H.
Substitutes
14. Beier M. 37. Campbell C. 17. Chukwuemeka C. 2. Couto Y. 39. Mane F. 33. Meyer A. (G) 6. Ozcan S. 20. Sabitzer M. 21. Silva F.	24. Fleck F. 22. Fraulo O. 34. Herrmann C. 18. Machino S. 36. Mohya W. 1. Omlin J. (G) 28. Ranos G. 7. Stoger K. 26. Ullrich L.
Coaches
Kovac N.	Polanski E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Brandt J. ⚽, Sule N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Can E. 🟨,
59', Schlotterbeck N. 🟨,
60', Adeyemi K. ↓, Beier M. ↑,
65', Reyna G. ↓, Ranos G. ↑,
71', Brandt J. ↓, Chukwuemeka C. ↑,
71', Gross P. ↓, Sabitzer M. ↑,
80', Neuhaus F. ↓, Stoger K. ↑,
80', Engelhardt Y. ↓, Mohya W. ↑,
80', Sander P. ↓, Machino S. ↑,
82', Ryerson J. ↓, Couto Y. ↑,
82', Guirassy S. ↓, Silva F. ↑,
90+5', Reitz R. 🟨,
90+7', 2 - 0, Beier M. ⚽, Silva F. (A),

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 4.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Borussia M may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Borussia D is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Borussia D: Anselmino A. (Thigh Injury) Anton W. (Thigh Injury) Bellingham J. (Red Card) Bensebaini R. (International duty)

There will not play in Borussia M: Chiarodia F. C. (Thigh Injury) Kleindienst T. (Knee Injury) Ngoumou N. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Borussia M: Friedrich M. (Ankle Injury) Hack R. (Knee Injury) Honorat F. (Calf Injury) Machino S. (Illness)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 16 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 52:24. (average 2.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Borussia D won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 36:10. (average 3.6:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Dortmund
German Bundesliga
14.12.25	Freiburg - Borussia Dortmund	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.12.25	Borussia Dortmund - Bodø Glimt	2:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
07.12.25	Borussia Dortmund - Hoffenheim	2:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
02.12.25	Borussia Dortmund - Bayer Leverkusen	0:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
29.11.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Dortmund	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TTWLW
- Borussia Mönchengladbach
German Bundesliga
13.12.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Wolfsburg	1:3 ✺
05.12.25	Mainz - Borussia Mönchengladbach	0:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
02.12.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - St. Pauli	1:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
28.11.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - RB Leipzig	0:0 ✺
22.11.25	Heidenheim - Borussia Mönchengladbach	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
20.04.25	Borussia Dortmund - Borussia Mönchengladbach	3:2
07.12.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Borussia Dortmund	1:1
13.04.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Borussia Dortmund	1:2
25.11.23	Borussia Dortmund - Borussia Mönchengladbach	4:2
13.05.23	Borussia Dortmund - Borussia Mönchengladbach	5:2
11.11.22	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Borussia Dortmund	4:2
20.02.22	Borussia Dortmund - Borussia Mönchengladbach	6:0

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