What is the expert prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Borussia Dortmund vs Borussia Mönchengladbach. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Borussia Dortmund vs Borussia Mönchengladbach Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Friday, December 19, 2025)

Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 15

Date: 19 December 2025, Friday

Location: Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund)

Referee: Jablonski S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Albania	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	SAT1, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 2
Belgium	Play Sports 1
Brazil	Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Xsports
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free, New World TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	SAT1, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport News, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	Sky Sport
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Mongolia	Premier Sports 5
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Pakistan	Tapmad
Papua-new-guinea	TVWan Sports
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Eleven Sports 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	Shahid
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Sport TV2, Voyo
South-africa	SABC Plus, SABC Sport
South-america	ESPN 2 South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga TV Bar 3
Suriname	SCCN
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	SAT1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball


	Borussia Dortmund		Borussia Mönchengladbach

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.75	6	Watch
	1.47	4.7	6.4	Watch
	1.52	4.8	6.37
	1.51	4.72	5.84	Watch
	1.5	4.33	5.5
	1.49	4.85	6.52	Watch
	1.5	4.5	6.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 (1.5)	4.66 ↓ (4.72)	6.14 ↑ (5.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borussia Dortmund
63.9%

Draw
20.5%

Borussia Mönchengladbach
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

20.2%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

19.4%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Borussia Mönchengladbach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Mönchengladbach than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.6%	8.7%	8.7%

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Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.25 - Borussia M (3.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Borussia M (2.31) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH -0.5 - Borussia M (2.62) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH -1.5 - Borussia D (2.29) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -1.25 - Borussia D (2.03) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Borussia M (2.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Borussia D (1.78) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

1X2, 2nd Half - Borussia D (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Borussia M (5.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Borussia Dortmund will win (56 of 67 users predict this - 83.58%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.71% – 92.45%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Borussia Dortmund will win (26 of 31 users predict this - 83.87%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 49 high ROI users predict this event. Borussia D (votes: 34 - 69.4%). Borussia M (votes: 11 - 22.4%). Tie (votes: 4 - 8.2%).

Score Prediction (the most likely result by bookmakers): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kobel G. (G) 25. Sule N. 23. Can E. (C) 4. Schlotterbeck N. 26. Ryerson J. 8. Nmecha F. 13. Gross P. 10. Brandt J. 24. Svensson D. 27. Adeyemi K. 9. Guirassy S.	33. Nicolas M. (G) 16. Sander P. 30. Elvedi N. 4. Diks K. 29. Scally J. 27. Reitz R. (C) 6. Engelhardt Y. 20. Netz L. 13. Reyna G. 10. Neuhaus F. 15. Tabakovic H.
Substitutes
14. Beier M. 37. Campbell C. 17. Chukwuemeka C. 2. Couto Y. 39. Mane F. 33. Meyer A. (G) 6. Ozcan S. 20. Sabitzer M. 21. Silva F.	24. Fleck F. 22. Fraulo O. 34. Herrmann C. 18. Machino S. 36. Mohya W. 1. Omlin J. (G) 28. Ranos G. 7. Stoger K. 26. Ullrich L.
Coaches
Kovac N.	Polanski E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Brandt J. ⚽, Sule N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Can E. 🟨,
59', Schlotterbeck N. 🟨,
60', Adeyemi K. ↓, Beier M. ↑,
65', Reyna G. ↓, Ranos G. ↑,
71', Brandt J. ↓, Chukwuemeka C. ↑,
71', Gross P. ↓, Sabitzer M. ↑,
80', Neuhaus F. ↓, Stoger K. ↑,
80', Engelhardt Y. ↓, Mohya W. ↑,
80', Sander P. ↓, Machino S. ↑,
82', Ryerson J. ↓, Couto Y. ↑,
82', Guirassy S. ↓, Silva F. ↑,
90+5', Reitz R. 🟨,
90+7', 2 - 0, Beier M. ⚽, Silva F. (A),

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 4.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Borussia M may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Borussia D is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Borussia D: Anselmino A. (Thigh Injury) Anton W. (Thigh Injury) Bellingham J. (Red Card) Bensebaini R. (International duty)

There will not play in Borussia M: Chiarodia F. C. (Thigh Injury) Kleindienst T. (Knee Injury) Ngoumou N. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Borussia M: Friedrich M. (Ankle Injury) Hack R. (Knee Injury) Honorat F. (Calf Injury) Machino S. (Illness)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 16 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 52:24. (average 2.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Borussia D won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 36:10. (average 3.6:1).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Dortmund
German Bundesliga
14.12.25	Freiburg - Borussia Dortmund	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.12.25	Borussia Dortmund - Bodø Glimt	2:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
07.12.25	Borussia Dortmund - Hoffenheim	2:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
02.12.25	Borussia Dortmund - Bayer Leverkusen	0:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
29.11.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Dortmund	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TTWLW
- Borussia Mönchengladbach
German Bundesliga
13.12.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Wolfsburg	1:3 ✺
05.12.25	Mainz - Borussia Mönchengladbach	0:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
02.12.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - St. Pauli	1:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
28.11.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - RB Leipzig	0:0 ✺
22.11.25	Heidenheim - Borussia Mönchengladbach	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
20.04.25	Borussia Dortmund - Borussia Mönchengladbach	3:2
07.12.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Borussia Dortmund	1:1
13.04.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Borussia Dortmund	1:2
25.11.23	Borussia Dortmund - Borussia Mönchengladbach	4:2
13.05.23	Borussia Dortmund - Borussia Mönchengladbach	5:2
11.11.22	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Borussia Dortmund	4:2
20.02.22	Borussia Dortmund - Borussia Mönchengladbach	6:0

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