Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 20

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund)

Referee: Jollenbeck M. (Ger)

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	Borussia Dortmund		Heidenheim

	1	X	2
	1.27	6	9	Watch
	1.25	6.5	10
	1.25	6.4	10.5	Watch
	1.27	6.3	11.34
	1.27	6.51	10.76	Watch
	1.25	5.5	9.5
	1.31	6.25	11.1	Watch
	1.27	6.33	9.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↑ (1.26)	6.22 ↑ (6.16)	10.21 ↓ (10.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borussia Dortmund
75.3%

Draw
15.3%

Heidenheim
9.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75.6%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Heidenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94%	2%	4%

Borussia Dortmund - Heidenheim Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 8.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Borussia D (1.75) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

EH -2 - draw (2.06) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Users Predictions: Borussia Dortmund will win (46 of 49 users predict this - 93.88%).
Confidence interval (95%): 87.17% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Borussia Dortmund will win (30 of 30 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 32 Selected Experts predict this event. Borussia D (votes: 32 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kobel G. (G) 39. Mane F. 3. Anton W. 4. Schlotterbeck N. (C) 2. Couto Y. 7. Bellingham J. 8. Nmecha F. 24. Svensson D. 27. Adeyemi K. 10. Brandt J. 9. Guirassy S.	41. Ramaj D. (G) 2. Busch M. 6. Mainka P. (C) 4. Siersleben T. 23. Traore O. H. 30. Dorsch N. 16. Niehues J. 8. Dinkci E. 26. Behrens H. 18. Pieringer M. 17. Honsak M.
Substitutes
14. Beier M. 5. Bensebaini R. 17. Chukwuemeka C. 30. Drewes P. (G) 33. Meyer A. (G) 6. Ozcan S. 26. Ryerson J. 21. Silva F. 25. Sule N.	21. Beck A. 31. Conteh S. 40. Feller F. (G) 19. Fohrenbach J. 22. Ibrahimovic A. 29. Kaufmann M. 20. Kerber L. 9. Schimmer S. 3. Schoppner J.
Coaches
Kovac N.	Schmidt F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
40', Honsak M. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Anton W. ⚽,
45+5', 1 - 1, Niehues J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Mane F. ↓, Sule N. ↑,
46', Honsak M. ↓, Ibrahimovic A. ↑,
48', 1 - 2, Niehues J. ⚽, Dinkci E. (A),
50', Anton W. 🟨,
58', Couto Y. ↓, Beier M. ↑,
58', Bellingham J. ↓, Chukwuemeka C. ↑,
64', Niehues J. 🟨,
68', 2 - 2, Guirassy S. (Penalty Awarded),
69', Adeyemi K. ↓, Silva F. ↑,
70', 3 - 2, Guirassy S. ⚽, Beier M. (A),
70', Niehues J. ↓, Schoppner J. ↑,
80', Traore O. H. ↓, Schimmer S. ↑,
80', Dinkci E. ↓, Kaufmann M. ↑,
80', Pieringer M. ↓, Conteh S. ↑,
85', Guirassy S. (Penalty Awarded),
90+3', Guirassy S. ↓, Ozcan S. ↑,
90+8', Kobel G. 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 3.

In recent matches, Borussia D has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Heidenheim's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Heidenheim may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Borussia D is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Heidenheim: Conteh C. (Knock) Feller F. (Knee Injury) Gimber B. (Yellow Cards) Kolle A. (Muscle Injury) Paqarada L. (Knee Injury) Rothweiler N. (Illness) Stergiou L. (Muscle Injury) Zivzivadze B. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Borussia D: Sabitzer M. (Calf Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 2.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Borussia D won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 3:2).

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Dortmund: 8.91%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Dortmund	5	4	1	0	11:4	7	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Dortmund
UEFA Champions League
28.01.26	Borussia Dortmund - Inter Milan	0:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
24.01.26	Union Berlin - Borussia Dortmund	0:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
20.01.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Borussia Dortmund	2:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
17.01.26	Borussia Dortmund - St. Pauli	3:2 ✺
13.01.26	Borussia Dortmund - Werder Bremen	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLWW
- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
German Bundesliga
24.01.26	Heidenheim - RB Leipzig	0:3 ✺
17.01.26	Wolfsburg - Heidenheim	1:1 ✺
13.01.26	Mainz - Heidenheim	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Heidenheim - Köln	2:2 ✺
21.12.25	Heidenheim - Bayern Munich	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
13.09.25	Heidenheim - Borussia Dortmund	0:2
01.02.25	Heidenheim - Borussia Dortmund	1:2
13.09.24	Borussia Dortmund - Heidenheim	4:2
02.02.24	Heidenheim - Borussia Dortmund	0:0
01.09.23	Borussia Dortmund - Heidenheim	2:2
Club Friendly
19.07.14	Heidenheim - Borussia Dortmund	3:4

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