The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sevilla 30.7%
Draw 27.3%
Borussia Dortmund 42.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33%
26.9%
40.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.9%
26.8%
40.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sevilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
32.7%
26.5%
40.7%
Sevilla - Borussia Dortmund Predictions
Users Predictions:
113 users predict this event. Sevilla will win (votes: 37 - 32.7%). Borussia D will win (votes: 46 - 40.7%). It will Tie (votes: 30 - 26.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 31.6% – 49.8%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Sevilla has currently - 1, has a very small chance of 1st (<1%), has a small chance of 2nd (15%), has a good chance of 3rd (61%), has a small chance of round of 16 (15%), has a very small chance of qtrs (4%), has a very small chance of semis (1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Borussia D has currently - 3, has a small chance of 1st (6%), has a good chance of 2nd (77%), has a small chance of 3rd (15%), has a good chance of round of 16 (83%), has a chance of qtrs (38%), has a small chance of semis (15%), has a small chance of final (6%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
This event has big quality73, big importance77, big match rating75. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Two teams are playing changeable.
Borussia D will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Sevilla: Corona J.
(Ankle Injury)
Fernando
(Injury)
Marcao
(Muscle Injury)
Rekik K.
(Thigh Injury)
Torres O.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Borussia D: Bynoe-Gittens J.
(Shoulder Injury)
Dahoud M.
(Shoulder Injury)
Haller S.
(Illness)
Hummels M.
(Illness)
Morey Bauza M.
(Knee Injury)
Reus M.
(Ankle Injury)
Reyna G.
(Muscle Injury)
Wolf M.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Sevilla: Acuna M.
(Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Borussia D: Kobel G.
(Back Injury)
Last 2 head-to-head matches Sevilla won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Sevilla won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.
Africa
Australia
Austria
Bosnia-and-herzegovina
Croatia
Denmark
Finland
France
Germany
Portugal
Serbia
United-kingdom
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