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Current Win Probability
Borussia Dortmund 67.7%
Draw 18.6%
Schalke 04 13.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
72%
16.8%
11.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
76.3%
15.9%
10.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
Schalke 04 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Borussia Dortmund, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
61%
23.7%
15.3%
Borussia Dortmund - Schalke 04 Predictions
Users Predictions:
59 users predict this event. Borussia D will win (votes: 36 - 61%). Schalke will win (votes: 9 - 15.3%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 23.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 48.6% – 73.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Group Stage) and 13).
Borussia D has the most likely position - 2 (27.44%), has project points - 61, has currently - 12, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of qualify for ucl (65%), has a small chance of win league (8%).
Schalke has the most likely position - 17 (15.03%), has project points - 35, has currently - 6, has a chance of relegated (31%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality68, importance53, match rating61. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Borussia D won 3.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Borussia D could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Borussia D is the unquestionable favorite.
There will not play in Borussia D: Bynoe-Gittens J.
(Shoulder Injury)
Dahoud M.
(Shoulder Injury)
Haller S.
(Illness)
Morey Bauza M.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Schalke: Kaminski M.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Borussia D: Kobel G.
(Muscle Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Borussia D won 8 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 36-24.
Including matches at home between the teams Borussia D won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 20-12.
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