Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 8

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Borussia-Park (Mönchengladbach)

Referee: Stegemann S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Borussia Mönchengladbach		Bayern Munich

	1	X	2
	11	7	1.22	Watch
	9.8	6.9	1.25	Watch
	11.92	7.26	1.25
	22.08	7.39	1.13	Watch
				Watch
	11.9	7.2	1.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	13.34 ↑ (9)	7.15 ↑ (6.5)	1.22 ↓ (1.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borussia Mönchengladbach
7.2%

Draw
13.5%

Bayern Munich
79.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.6%

14.7%

74.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Mönchengladbach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.9%	4.4%	66.7%

Borussia Mönchengladbach - Bayern Munich Predictions

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Borussia M will win (votes: 13 - 28.9%). Bayern will win (votes: 30 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 4.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 52.9% – 80.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Borussia M (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Bayern (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Borussia M (7.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 8.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.25 - Bayern (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Borussia M (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Bayern (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Nicolas M. (G) 17. Castrop J. 30. Elvedi N. 20. Netz L. 4. Diks K. 16. Sander P. 6. Engelhardt Y. 9. Honorat F. 7. Stoger K. 27. Reitz R. (C) 15. Tabakovic H.	40. Urbig J. (G) 23. Boey S. 2. Upamecano D. 3. Kim Min-Jae 20. Bischof T. 6. Kimmich J. 8. Goretzka L. 17. Olise M. 9. Kane H. 14. Diaz L. 11. Jackson N.
Substitutes
22. Fraulo O. 5. Friedrich M. 18. Machino S. 10. Neuhaus F. 1. Omlin J. (G) 13. Reyna G. 29. Scally J. 26. Ullrich L. 40. Urbich J.	7. Gnabry S. 22. Guerreiro R. 42. Karl L. 27. Laimer K. 36. Mike W. 1. Neuer M. (G) 45. Pavlovic A. 44. Stanisic J. 4. Tah J.
Coaches
Polanski E.	Kompany V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Castrop J. 🟥,
28', Upamecano D. 🟨,
38', Diaz L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Upamecano D. ↓, Laimer K. ↑,
46', Boey S. ↓, Guerreiro R. ↑,
59', Jackson N. ↓, Gnabry S. ↑,
63', Tabakovic H. ↓, Machino S. ↑,
64', 0 - 1, Kimmich J. ⚽,
69', 0 - 2, Guerreiro R. ⚽, Olise M. (A),
74', Bischof T. 🟨,
75', Stoger K. (Pen),
75', Polanski E. 🟨,
75', Honorat F. ↓, Scally J. ↑,
76', Netz L. ↓, Ullrich L. ↑,
76', Diaz L. ↓, Karl L. ↑,
81', 0 - 3, Karl L. ⚽, Guerreiro R. (A),
82', Bischof T. ↓, Stanisic J. ↑,
84', Stoger K. ↓, Reyna G. ↑,
84', Reitz R. ↓, Fraulo O. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borussia M won 1.

Borussia M has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bayern is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Bayern may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bayern is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Borussia M: Hack R. (Knee Injury) Kleindienst T. (Knee Injury) Ngoumou N. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Bayern: Davies A. (Knee Injury) Ito H. (Foot Injury) Musiala J. (Broken calfbone)

There are questionable in Borussia M: Chiarodia F. C. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Bayern: Gnabry S. (Hip Injury) Stanisic J. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Borussia M won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 29:37. (average 1.5:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Borussia M won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 1.8:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Mönchengladbach
German Bundesliga
17.10.25	Union Berlin - Borussia Mönchengladbach	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.10.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Preußen Münster	3:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
05.10.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Freiburg	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Eintracht Frankfurt	4:6 ✺
21.09.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWTLT
- Bayern Munich
UEFA Champions League
22.10.25	Bayern Munich - Club Brugge	4:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
18.10.25	Bayern Munich - Borussia Dortmund	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Bayern Munich	0:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
30.09.25	Paphos - Bayern Munich	1:5 ✺
German Bundesliga
26.09.25	Bayern Munich - Werder Bremen	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
10.05.25	Bayern Munich - Borussia Mönchengladbach	2:0
11.01.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Bayern Munich	0:1
03.02.24	Bayern Munich - Borussia Mönchengladbach	3:1
02.09.23	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Bayern Munich	1:2
18.02.23	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Bayern Munich	3:2
27.08.22	Bayern Munich - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:1
07.01.22	Bayern Munich - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:2

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