Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 6

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Deutsche Bank Park (Frankfurt)

Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Eintracht Frankfurt		Bayern Munich

	1	X	2
	7	5.5	1.38	Watch
	6	5.25	1.43
	6.9	5.9	1.37	Watch
	7.63	6.2	1.38
	33.61	13.28	1.04	Watch
				Watch
	6.89	5.87	1.43	Watch
	6.1	5.7	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.59 ↑ (5.35)	6.81 ↑ (5.01)	1.35 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eintracht Frankfurt
9.6%

Draw
14.9%

Bayern Munich
75.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.8%

19%

63.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.3%

18.4%

65%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eintracht Frankfurt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Eintracht Frankfurt's form might have worsened.

Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bayern Munich's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eintracht Frankfurt than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eintracht Frankfurt, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bayern Munich, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	13.3%	76.7%

Eintracht Frankfurt - Bayern Munich Predictions

Users Predictions: 60 users predict this event. Eintracht will win (votes: 6 - 10%). Bayern will win (votes: 46 - 76.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 66% – 87.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH +1.75 - Eintracht (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Bayern (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bayern Munich will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Eintracht (votes: 2 - 9.5%). Bayern (votes: 17 - 81%). Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Kaua Santos (G) 24. Buta 4. Koch R. (C) 3. Theate A. 21. Brown N. 20. Doan R. 16. Larsson H. 15. Skhiri E. 42. Uzun C. Y. 19. Bahoya J. 9. Burkardt J.	1. Neuer M. (C) 23. Boey S. 2. Upamecano D. 4. Tah J. 27. Laimer K. 6. Kimmich J. 8. Goretzka L. 17. Olise M. 7. Gnabry S. 14. Diaz L. 9. Kane H.
Substitutes
5. Amenda A. 30. Batshuayi M. 8. Chaibi F. 34. Collins N. 27. Gotze M. 6. Hojlund O. 7. Knauff A. 17. Wahi E. 23. Zetterer M. (G)	20. Bischof T. 22. Guerreiro R. 11. Jackson N. 42. Karl L. 30. Kiala C. 3. Kim Min-Jae 36. Mike W. 45. Pavlovic A. 26. Ulreich S. (G)
Coaches
Toppmoller D.	Kompany V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, Diaz L. ⚽, Gnabry S. (A),
14', Goretzka L. 🟨,
27', 0 - 2, Kane H. ⚽, Diaz L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Goretzka L. ↓, Pavlovic A. ↑,
65', Uzun C. Y. ↓, Knauff A. ↑,
65', Larsson H. ↓, Chaibi F. ↑,
69', Diaz L. 🟨,
71', Gnabry S. ↓, Guerreiro R. ↑,
78', Skhiri E. ↓, Hojlund O. ↑,
78', Bahoya J. ↓, Gotze M. ↑,
79', Burkardt J. 🟨,
82', Burkardt J. ↓, Wahi E. ↑,
84', 0 - 3, Diaz L. ⚽, Guerreiro R. (A),
85', Kane H. ↓, Jackson N. ↑,
88', Boey S. ↓, Bischof T. ↑,
88', Diaz L. ↓, Karl L. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eintracht won 1.

Eintracht has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bayern is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Bayern may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bayern is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Eintracht: Kristensen R. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Bayern: Davies A. (Knee Injury) Ito H. (Foot Injury) Musiala J. (Broken calfbone) Stanisic J. (Knee Injury) Urbig J. (Groin Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Eintracht won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 28:55. (average 1.4:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Eintracht won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:22. (average 1.8:2.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eintracht Frankfurt
UEFA Champions League
30.09.25	Atlético Madrid - Eintracht Frankfurt	5:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
27.09.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Eintracht Frankfurt	4:6 ✺
21.09.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Union Berlin	3:4 ✺
UEFA Champions League
18.09.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Galatasaray	5:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
12.09.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Eintracht Frankfurt	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLWL
- Bayern Munich
UEFA Champions League
30.09.25	Paphos - Bayern Munich	1:5 ✺
German Bundesliga
26.09.25	Bayern Munich - Werder Bremen	4:0 ✺
20.09.25	Hoffenheim - Bayern Munich	1:4 ✺
UEFA Champions League
17.09.25	Bayern Munich - Chelsea	3:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
13.09.25	Bayern Munich - Hamburger SV	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
23.02.25	Bayern Munich - Eintracht Frankfurt	4:0
06.10.24	Eintracht Frankfurt - Bayern Munich	3:3
27.04.24	Bayern Munich - Eintracht Frankfurt	2:1
09.12.23	Eintracht Frankfurt - Bayern Munich	5:1
28.01.23	Bayern Munich - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:1
05.08.22	Eintracht Frankfurt - Bayern Munich	1:6
26.02.22	Eintracht Frankfurt - Bayern Munich	0:1

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