Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 5

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday

Location: Allianz Arena (Munich)

Referee: Willenborg F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, New World Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Setanta Sports 1
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
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Brazil	Claro TV+, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Xsports
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
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Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free, New World TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 3
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Hungary	Arena 4
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Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1
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Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
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Netherlands	Viaplay
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Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
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Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer app, BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN 2, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball


	Bayern Munich		Werder Bremen

	1	X	2
	1.09	11	21	Watch
	1.09	11.5	20	Watch
	1.11	12	26
	1.05	12.11	33.17	Watch
				Watch
	1.13	12.1	21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.09 ↑ (1.08)	11.74 ↑ (11.25)	24.23 ↓ (24.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayern Munich
87.8%

Draw
8.2%

Werder Bremen
4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

87.7%

8.4%

3.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Werder Bremen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.9%	13.2%	7.9%

Bayern Munich - Werder Bremen Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Bayern will win (votes: 28 - 77.8%). Werder will win (votes: 3 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 13.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 64.2% – 91.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4.25 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

EH -3 - Bayern (2.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -3.5 - Bayern (2.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.75, 1st Half - Bayern (1.83) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bayern Munich will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayern (votes: 13 - 92.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Neuer M. (C) 23. Boey S. 2. Upamecano D. 4. Tah J. 27. Laimer K. 8. Goretzka L. 20. Bischof T. 17. Olise M. 7. Gnabry S. 14. Diaz L. 9. Kane H.	13. Hein K. (G) 3. Sugawara Y. 32. Friedl M. (C) 31. Coulibaly K. 27. Agu F. 14. Lynen S. 6. Stage J. 18. Puertas C. 20. Schmid R. 7. Mbangula S. 11. Njinmah J.
Substitutes
22. Guerreiro R. 11. Jackson N. 42. Karl L. 30. Kiala C. 6. Kimmich J. 3. Kim Min-Jae 36. Mike W. 45. Pavlovic A. 26. Ulreich S. (G)	28. Alvero S. 10. Bittencourt L. 44. Boniface V. 24. Covic P. 17. Grull M. 25. Kolke M. (G) 5. Pieper A. 23. Schmidt I. 9. Topp K.
Coaches
Kompany V.	Steffen H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
16', Gnabry S. 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, Diaz L. ⚽, Tah J. (A),
45', 2 - 0, Kane H. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
61', Puertas C. ↓, Boniface V. ↑,
61', Goretzka L. ↓, Kimmich J. ↑,
61', Gnabry S. ↓, Guerreiro R. ↑,
65', 3 - 0, Kane H. ⚽, Diaz L. (A),
65', Kimmich J. 🟨,
73', Njinmah J. ↓, Grull M. ↑,
78', Kane H. ↓, Jackson N. ↑,
78', Olise M. ↓, Karl L. ↑,
80', Stage J. ↓, Bittencourt L. ↑,
80', Agu F. ↓, Schmidt I. ↑,
80', Mbangula S. ↓, Covic P. ↑,
84', Diaz L. ↓, Mike W. ↑,
88', 4 - 0, Laimer K. ⚽, Bischof T. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayern won 4.

Bayern has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Werder is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bayern may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bayern is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Bayern: Davies A. (Knee Injury) Ito H. (Foot Injury) Musiala J. (Broken calfbone) Stanisic J. (Knee Injury) Urbig J. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Werder: Backhaus M. (Shoulder Injury) Deman O. (Ankle Injury) Malatini J. (Ankle Injury) Stark N. (Hip Injury) Weiser M. (Knee Injury) Wober M. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bayern won 18 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 60:12. (average 3:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Bayern won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 34:6. (average 3.4:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bayern Munich
German Bundesliga
20.09.25	Hoffenheim - Bayern Munich	1:4 ✺
UEFA Champions League
17.09.25	Bayern Munich - Chelsea	3:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
13.09.25	Bayern Munich - Hamburger SV	5:0 ✺
30.08.25	Augsburg - Bayern Munich	2:3 ✺
German DFB Pokal
27.08.25	Wehen Wiesbaden - Bayern Munich	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWWW
- Werder Bremen
German Bundesliga
20.09.25	Werder Bremen - Freiburg	0:3 ✺
14.09.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Werder Bremen	0:4 ✺
30.08.25	Werder Bremen - Bayer Leverkusen	3:3 ✺
23.08.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Werder Bremen	4:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
15.08.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Werder Bremen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
07.02.25	Bayern Munich - Werder Bremen	3:0
21.09.24	Werder Bremen - Bayern Munich	0:5
21.01.24	Bayern Munich - Werder Bremen	0:1
18.08.23	Werder Bremen - Bayern Munich	0:4
06.05.23	Werder Bremen - Bayern Munich	1:2
08.11.22	Bayern Munich - Werder Bremen	6:1
13.03.21	Werder Bremen - Bayern Munich	1:3

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