Match Info

Champions League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 30 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Alphamega Stadium (Limassol)

Referee: Lukjancukas M. (Ltu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 6, Supersport Action, SuperSport OTT 3, SuperSport Variety 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3
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Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
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Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	Canal+ Live 7
Germany	Amazon Prime Video
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Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Hungary	RTL+, Sport 2
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India	JioTV app, Sony LIV
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Italy	Sky Sport 255
Kenya	Gotv
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Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
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Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus


	Paphos		Bayern Munich

	1	X	2
	23	9.5	1.11
	21	9.3	1.13
	25	10	1.11
	24.63	43.06	1.00	Watch
	19.5	9.7	1.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	22.63 ↑ (16.8)	16.31 ↑ (7.9)	1.1 ↓ (1.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paphos
4.4%

Draw
6.1%

Bayern Munich
89.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

5.7%

12.1%

82.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paphos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bayern Munich's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
2.3%	4.7%	93%

Paphos - Bayern Munich Predictions

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Paphos will win (votes: 1 - 2.4%). Bayern will win (votes: 38 - 92.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 4.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 84.7% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH -2 - Bayern (1.92) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -3.5 - Bayern (3.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.75, 1st Half - Bayern (1.38) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Bayern (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1, 1st Half - Bayern (2.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bayern Munich will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 24 Selected Experts predict this event. Paphos (votes: 1 - 4.2%). Bayern (votes: 23 - 95.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Michail N. (G) 23. Luckassen D. 5. Goldar D. (C) 4. David Luiz 11. Jaja 88. Pepe 26. Sunjic I. 2. Pileas K. 17. Orsic M. 33. Anderson Silva 30. Dragomir V.	1. Neuer M. (C) 27. Laimer K. 2. Upamecano D. 3. Kim Min-Jae 22. Guerreiro R. 6. Kimmich J. 45. Pavlovic A. 17. Olise M. 9. Kane H. 14. Diaz L. 11. Jackson N.
Substitutes
9. Bassouamina M. 77. Correia J. 10. Dimata L. 1. Gorter J. (G) 25. Langa B. 82. Petrou P. (G) 8. Quina D. 12. Sema K.	20. Bischof T. 23. Boey S. 7. Gnabry S. 8. Goretzka L. 42. Karl L. 48. Klanac L. (G) 36. Mike W. 4. Tah J. 26. Ulreich S. (G)
Coaches
Carcedo J.	Kompany V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 4)
15', 0 - 1, Kane H. ⚽, Olise M. (A),
20', 0 - 2, Guerreiro R. ⚽, Jackson N. (A),
31', 0 - 3, Jackson N. ⚽, Olise M. (A),
34', 0 - 4, Kane H. ⚽,
45', 1 - 4, Orsic M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Diaz L. ↓, Gnabry S. ↑,
46', Orsic M. 🟨,
59', Jaja ↓, Dimata L. ↑,
59', Anderson Silva ↓, Bassouamina M. ↑,
59', David Luiz ↓, Langa B. ↑,
64', Kane H. ↓, Boey S. ↑,
66', Dragomir V. ↓, Quina D. ↑,
69', 1 - 5, Olise M. ⚽, Jackson N. (A),
72', Upamecano D. ↓, Tah J. ↑,
72', Olise M. ↓, Karl L. ↑,
79', Pileas K. ↓, Sema K. ↑,
83', Laimer K. ↓, Bischof T. ↑,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Alphamega Stadium.

Paphos is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bayern is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Paphos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bayern is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Paphos: Brito A. (Inactive) Bruno (Red Card) Correia J. (Injury) Odefalk W. (Inactive) Papadoudis A. (Inactive) Pedrao (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Bayern: Davies A. (Knee Injury) Ito H. (Foot Injury) Musiala J. (Broken calfbone) Stanisic J. (Knee Injury) Urbig J. (Groin Injury)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paphos FC
Cypriot First Division
27.09.25	Paphos - Olympiacos Nicosia	2:1 ✺
24.09.25	Paphos - Enosis Neon Paralimni	3:0 ✺
21.09.25	Omonia Aradippou - Paphos	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
17.09.25	Olympiacos Piraeus - Paphos	0:0 ✺
Cypriot First Division
13.09.25	Paphos - Apollon Limassol	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWTL
- Bayern Munich
German Bundesliga
26.09.25	Bayern Munich - Werder Bremen	4:0 ✺
20.09.25	Hoffenheim - Bayern Munich	1:4 ✺
UEFA Champions League
17.09.25	Bayern Munich - Chelsea	3:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
13.09.25	Bayern Munich - Hamburger SV	5:0 ✺
30.08.25	Augsburg - Bayern Munich	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWWW

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