Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 11

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: WWK Arena (Augsburg)

Referee: Braun R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	Tring Sport 6
Argentina	Disney+
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Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
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Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
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South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	S Sport+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
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Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball


	Augsburg		Hamburger SV

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.4	3.1	Watch
	2.32	3.45	3.05	Watch
	2.42	3.75	2.9
	2.30	3.70	2.88	Watch
				Watch
	2.41	3.6	3.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.32)	3.58 ↓ (3.66)	3.01 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Augsburg
41%

Draw
26.9%

Hamburger SV
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

26.1%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

26%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Augsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Hamburger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
51.7%	20.7%	27.6%

Augsburg - Hamburger SV Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Augsburg will win (votes: 15 - 53.6%). Hamburg will win (votes: 7 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Augsburg: 35.1% – 72.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Augsburg (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Augsburg (1.80) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Augsburg (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dahmen F. (C) 40. Banks N. 5. Matsima C. 31. Schlotterbeck K. 30. Kade A. 4. Massengo H. 19. Fellhauer R. 13. Giannoulis D. 32. Rieder F. 20. Claude-Maurice A. 36. Komur M.	1. Heuer Fernandes D. (G) 24. Capaldo N. 44. Vuskovic L. 25. Torunarigha J. 16. Gocholeishvili G. 6. Lokonga A. S. 21. Remberg N. 28. Muheim M. (C) 20. Vieira F. 11. Konigsdorffer R. 7. Dompe J.
Substitutes
9. Essende S. 11. Gharbi I. 22. Labrovic N. (G) 10. Maier A. 8. Rexhbecaj E. 26. Saad E. 21. Tietz P. 27. Wolf M. 16. Zesiger C.	45. Balde F. 9. Glatzel R. 2. Mikelbrencis W. 26. Peretz D. (G) 10. Pherai I. 14. Philippe R. 13. Ramos G. 38. Rossing-Lelesiit A. 22. Soumahoro A.
Coaches
Wagner S.	Polzin M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Schlotterbeck K. 🟨,
38', Capaldo N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Remberg N. 🟨,
64', Komur M. ↓, Essende S. ↑,
64', Claude-Maurice A. ↓, Saad E. ↑,
72', Vieira F. ↓, Philippe R. ↑,
73', Massengo H. ↓, Rexhbecaj E. ↑,
76', 1 - 0, Kade A. ⚽, Giannoulis D. (A),
81', Schlotterbeck K. 🟨,
82', Torunarigha J. ↓, Glatzel R. ↑,
82', Gocholeishvili G. ↓, Rossing-Lelesiit A. ↑,
83', Rieder F. ↓, Zesiger C. ↑,
85', Vuskovic L. 🟨,
86', Lokonga A. S. ↓, Pherai I. ↑,
86', Capaldo N. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 15 and 13)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 2.

Augsburg is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Hamburg is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Augsburg: Gouweleeuw J. (Knee Injury) Jakic K. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Hamburg: Elfadli D. (Groin Injury) Omari W. (Knee Injury) Poulsen Y. (Inactive)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:16. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Augsburg won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.9:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Augsburg
German Bundesliga
09.11.25	Stuttgart - Augsburg	3:2 ✺
31.10.25	Augsburg - Borussia Dortmund	0:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
28.10.25	Augsburg - Bochum	0:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
25.10.25	Augsburg - RB Leipzig	0:6 ✺
18.10.25	Köln - Augsburg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLLT
- Hamburger SV
German Bundesliga
08.11.25	Hamburger SV - Borussia Dortmund	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Köln - Hamburger SV	4:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
28.10.25	Heidenheim - Hamburger SV	0:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
25.10.25	Hamburger SV - Wolfsburg	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	RB Leipzig - Hamburger SV	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
07.07.21	Augsburg - Hamburger SV	2:2
German Bundesliga
13.01.18	Augsburg - Hamburger SV	1:0
19.08.17	Hamburger SV - Augsburg	1:0
30.04.17	Augsburg - Hamburger SV	4:0
10.12.16	Hamburger SV - Augsburg	1:0
14.05.16	Augsburg - Hamburger SV	1:3
19.12.15	Hamburger SV - Augsburg	0:1

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