What is the expert prediction for Augsburg vs Hamburger SV?

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Augsburg vs Hamburger SV Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, November 22, 2025)

Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 11

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: WWK Arena (Augsburg)

Referee: Braun R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	Tring Sport 6
Argentina	Disney+
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Croatia	SportKlub 4
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Extra 4
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Iceland	Viaplay
Japan	DAZN Japan
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	Viaplay
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN / App
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	Shahid
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	S Sport+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball


	Augsburg		Hamburger SV

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.4	3.1	Watch
	2.32	3.45	3.05	Watch
	2.42	3.75	2.9
	2.30	3.70	2.88	Watch

	2.41	3.6	3.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.32)	3.58 ↓ (3.66)	3.01 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Augsburg
41%

Draw
26.9%

Hamburger SV
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

26.1%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

26%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Augsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Hamburger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
51.7%	20.7%	27.6%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Augsburg will win (votes: 15 - 53.6%). Hamburg will win (votes: 7 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Augsburg: 35.1% – 72.1%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Augsburg (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH 0 - Augsburg (1.80) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Augsburg (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Score Prediction (the most likely result by bookmakers): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dahmen F. (C) 40. Banks N. 5. Matsima C. 31. Schlotterbeck K. 30. Kade A. 4. Massengo H. 19. Fellhauer R. 13. Giannoulis D. 32. Rieder F. 20. Claude-Maurice A. 36. Komur M.	1. Heuer Fernandes D. (G) 24. Capaldo N. 44. Vuskovic L. 25. Torunarigha J. 16. Gocholeishvili G. 6. Lokonga A. S. 21. Remberg N. 28. Muheim M. (C) 20. Vieira F. 11. Konigsdorffer R. 7. Dompe J.
Substitutes
9. Essende S. 11. Gharbi I. 22. Labrovic N. (G) 10. Maier A. 8. Rexhbecaj E. 26. Saad E. 21. Tietz P. 27. Wolf M. 16. Zesiger C.	45. Balde F. 9. Glatzel R. 2. Mikelbrencis W. 26. Peretz D. (G) 10. Pherai I. 14. Philippe R. 13. Ramos G. 38. Rossing-Lelesiit A. 22. Soumahoro A.
Coaches
Wagner S.	Polzin M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Schlotterbeck K. 🟨,
38', Capaldo N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Remberg N. 🟨,
64', Komur M. ↓, Essende S. ↑,
64', Claude-Maurice A. ↓, Saad E. ↑,
72', Vieira F. ↓, Philippe R. ↑,
73', Massengo H. ↓, Rexhbecaj E. ↑,
76', 1 - 0, Kade A. ⚽, Giannoulis D. (A),
81', Schlotterbeck K. 🟨,
82', Torunarigha J. ↓, Glatzel R. ↑,
82', Gocholeishvili G. ↓, Rossing-Lelesiit A. ↑,
83', Rieder F. ↓, Zesiger C. ↑,
85', Vuskovic L. 🟨,
86', Lokonga A. S. ↓, Pherai I. ↑,
86', Capaldo N. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 15 and 13)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 2.

Augsburg is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Hamburg is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Augsburg: Gouweleeuw J. (Knee Injury) Jakic K. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Hamburg: Elfadli D. (Groin Injury) Omari W. (Knee Injury) Poulsen Y. (Inactive)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:16. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Augsburg won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.9:1.1).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Augsburg
German Bundesliga
09.11.25	Stuttgart - Augsburg	3:2 ✺
31.10.25	Augsburg - Borussia Dortmund	0:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
28.10.25	Augsburg - Bochum	0:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
25.10.25	Augsburg - RB Leipzig	0:6 ✺
18.10.25	Köln - Augsburg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLLT
- Hamburger SV
German Bundesliga
08.11.25	Hamburger SV - Borussia Dortmund	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Köln - Hamburger SV	4:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
28.10.25	Heidenheim - Hamburger SV	0:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
25.10.25	Hamburger SV - Wolfsburg	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	RB Leipzig - Hamburger SV	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
07.07.21	Augsburg - Hamburger SV	2:2
German Bundesliga
13.01.18	Augsburg - Hamburger SV	1:0
19.08.17	Hamburger SV - Augsburg	1:0
30.04.17	Augsburg - Hamburger SV	4:0
10.12.16	Hamburger SV - Augsburg	1:0
14.05.16	Augsburg - Hamburger SV	1:3
19.12.15	Hamburger SV - Augsburg	0:1

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