Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 15

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: WWK Arena (Augsburg)

Referee: Welz T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Augsburg		Werder Bremen

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	3.2	Watch
	2.32	3.35	3.05	Watch
	2.36	3.6	3.05
	2.31	3.51	3.03	Watch
	2.3	3.3	2.9
	2.4	3.56	3.15	Watch
	2.33	3.33	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.21)	3.44 ↓ (3.65)	3.07 (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Augsburg
41.1%

Draw
27.8%

Werder Bremen
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

26%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

25.9%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Augsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Werder Bremen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	31.8%	13.6%

Augsburg - Werder Bremen Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Augsburg will win (votes: 12 - 54.5%). Werder will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 31.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Augsburg: 33.7% – 75.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Augsburg (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Werder (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Werder (2.21) (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Augsburg (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Augsburg (votes: 7 - 50%). Werder (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dahmen F. (G) 40. Banks N. 31. Schlotterbeck K. 16. Zesiger C. 19. Fellhauer R. 17. Jakic K. 4. Massengo H. 13. Giannoulis D. 32. Rieder F. 27. Wolf M. 20. Claude-Maurice A.	30. Backhaus M. (G) 3. Sugawara Y. 5. Pieper A. 4. Stark N. 32. Friedl M. 6. Stage J. 14. Lynen S. 18. Puertas C. 20. Schmid R. 23. Schmidt I. 11. Njinmah J.
Substitutes
28. Dardari A. 36. Komur M. 22. Labrovic N. (G) 10. Maier A. 3. Pedersen M. 8. Rexhbecaj E. 37. Schnitzer T. 43. Sorg O. 21. Tietz P.	28. Alvero S. 24. Covic P. 17. Grull M. 21. Hansen-Aaroen I. 13. Hein K. (G) 22. Malatini J. 33. Schmetgens M. 9. Topp K. 39. Wober M.
Coaches
Baum M.	Steffen H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+4', Giannoulis D. 🟨,
45+4', Schmid R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Wolf M. ↓, Komur M. ↑,
56', Giannoulis D. ↓, Pedersen M. ↑,
56', Jakic K. ↓, Rexhbecaj E. ↑,
65', Banks N. 🟨,
68', Njinmah J. ↓, Grull M. ↑,
74', Pieper A. 🟨,
75', Puertas C. ↓, Covic P. ↑,
78', Rieder F. ↓, Dardari A. ↑,
83', Stark N. ↓, Malatini J. ↑,
83', Schmidt I. ↓, Topp K. ↑,
90+2', Massengo H. ↓, Tietz P. ↑,
90+4', Zesiger C. 🟨,
90+5', Lynen S. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 2.

Augsburg has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Werder's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Augsburg: Essende S. (International duty) Gharbi I. (International duty) Gouweleeuw J. (Knee Injury) Matsima C. (Yellow Cards) Saad E. (International duty)

There will not play in Werder: Agu F. (Ankle Injury) Boniface V. (Knee Injury) Coulibaly K. (Red Card) Weiser M. (Knee Injury) Wober M. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Augsburg: Kade A. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Werder: Bittencourt L. (Illness) Deman O. (Ankle Injury) Friedl M. (Shoulder Injury) Mbangula S. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 33:35. (average 1.7:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Augsburg won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:19. (average 1.9:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Augsburg
German Bundesliga
13.12.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Augsburg	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Augsburg - Bayer Leverkusen	2:0 ✺
29.11.25	Hoffenheim - Augsburg	3:0 ✺
22.11.25	Augsburg - Hamburger SV	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Stuttgart - Augsburg	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWLWL
- Werder Bremen
German Bundesliga
14.12.25	Werder Bremen - Stuttgart	0:4 ✺
07.12.25	Hamburger SV - Werder Bremen	3:2 ✺
29.11.25	Werder Bremen - Köln	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	RB Leipzig - Werder Bremen	2:0 ✺
07.11.25	Werder Bremen - Wolfsburg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
19.01.25	Werder Bremen - Augsburg	0:2
24.08.24	Augsburg - Werder Bremen	2:2
27.04.24	Augsburg - Werder Bremen	0:3
09.12.23	Werder Bremen - Augsburg	2:0
04.03.23	Augsburg - Werder Bremen	2:1
09.09.22	Werder Bremen - Augsburg	0:1
15.05.21	Augsburg - Werder Bremen	2:0

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