Match Info

Paulista - Round 2

Date: 14 January 2026, Wednesday

Referee: Nunes G. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	HBO Max


	EC Primavera		Mirassol

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.4	1.73	Watch
	4.85	3.35	1.75	Watch
	5.16	3.5	1.71	Watch
	4.6	3.1	1.75
	5.58	3.44	1.72	Watch
	5.5	3.25	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.16 ↓ (5.17)	3.34 ↓ (3.62)	1.74 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EC Primavera
18.1%

Draw
28%

Mirassol
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.9%

25.6%

56.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EC Primavera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Mirassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	12.5%	87.5%

EC Primavera - Mirassol Predictions

Users Predictions: Mirassol will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mirassol will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Mirassol is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Mirassol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Mirassol is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Mirassol: Edson Carioca (Muscle Injury)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Primavera
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
10.01.26	Guarani - EC Primavera	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Paulista
11.10.25	Piracicaba - EC Primavera	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	EC Primavera - Piracicaba	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	EC Primavera - Grêmio Prudente	3:1 penalties ✺
20.09.25	Grêmio Prudente - EC Primavera	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TLWWL
- Mirassol
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
11.01.26	Mirassol - São Paulo	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
06.12.25	Mirassol - Flamengo	3:3 ✺
02.12.25	Vasco da Gama - Mirassol	0:2 ✺
29.11.25	Vitória Salvador - Mirassol	2:0 ✺
24.11.25	Mirassol - Ceará	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WTWLW

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