Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista - Round 2

Date: 20 January 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Santa Cruz (Ribeirao Preto)

Referee: Vitor Gobi J. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Brasileirao Play, Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping
Israel	Sport 4
Portugal	Canal 11
World	Fanatiz


	Botafogo SP		São Paulo

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	3.4
	2.2	3.1	3.4
	2.2	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.23	3.16	3.5
	2.24	3.08	3.39	Watch
	2.2	2.9	3.3
	2.18	3.13	3.29
	2.2	3.1	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (3.41)	3.08 ↑ (2.9)	3.39 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo SP
42.2%

Draw
30.3%

São Paulo
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

31.5%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Botafogo SP's performance.

São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and São Paulo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Botafogo SP - São Paulo Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Botafogo SP will win (votes: 2 - 40%). São Paulo will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Joao Carlos (G) 2. Jeferson 3. Edson (C) 4. Allyson 6. Risso G. 5. Gabriel Bispo 10. Maciel L. 8. Dramisino A. 11. Silvinho 9. Pablo Thomaz 7. Jonas Toro	23. Rafael (G) 32. Ferraresi N. 5. Robert Arboleda 35. Sabino 30. Joao Moreira 46. Hugo Leonardo 4. Longo S. 15. Rodriguinho 37. Henrique Carmo 49. Ryan Francisco 39. William Gomes
Substitutes
21. Abdulai S. 19. Alexandre Jesus 14. Alisson Cassiano 12. Brenno Klippel (G) 20. Douglas Baggio 13. Ericson 18. Gustavo Bochecha 15. Jean Mangabeira 16. Jean Victor 17. Jonathan Cafu 22. Wallison	47. Alves M. 38. Bezerra P. 43. Felipe Negrucci 44. Guilherme Reis 48. Lucas Ferreira 42. Maik 45. Marques L. 53. Paulo Sergio 52. Pedrinho 41. Pedro 40. Pedro J. (G)
Coaches
Marcio Zanardi	Zubeldia L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Joao Moreira 🟨,
22', Ferraresi N. 🟨,
44', Jonas Toro 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Silvinho ↓, Douglas Baggio ↑,
46', Jonas Toro ↓, Jonathan Cafu ↑,
53', Edson ↓, Alisson Cassiano ↑,
65', Gabriel Bispo ↓, Jean Mangabeira ↑,
68', Hugo Leonardo ↓, Felipe Negrucci ↑,
68', Ryan Francisco ↓, Alves M. ↑,
68', Henrique Carmo ↓, Lucas Ferreira ↑,
73', Pablo Thomaz 🟨,
77', Pablo Thomaz ↓, Alexandre Jesus ↑,
90', Maciel L. ↓, Abdulai S. ↑,
90+1', Abdulai S. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Botafogo SP won 1.

São Paulo is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

São Paulo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Botafogo SP will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Botafogo SP won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 8:15 (average 0.8:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Botafogo SP won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:9 (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo SP
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
15.01.25	Guarani - Botafogo SP	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
22.11.24	Coritiba - Botafogo SP	1:3 ✺
18.11.24	Botafogo SP - Avaí	1:3 ✺
12.11.24	Botafogo SP - Ceará	1:4 ✺
05.11.24	Brusque - Botafogo SP	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 LWLLW
- São Paulo FC
Club Friendly
19.01.25	São Paulo - Flamengo	0:0 ✺
15.01.25	Cruzeiro - São Paulo	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
08.12.24	Botafogo RJ - São Paulo	2:1 ✺
04.12.24	São Paulo - Juventude	1:2 ✺
01.12.24	Grêmio - São Paulo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
05.03.23	Botafogo SP - São Paulo	1:3
19.03.22	São Paulo - Botafogo SP	2:1
28.02.21	São Paulo - Botafogo SP	1:1
08.03.20	Botafogo SP - São Paulo	1:0
03.02.18	São Paulo - Botafogo SP	2:0
22.03.17	Botafogo SP - São Paulo	1:1
23.03.16	São Paulo - Botafogo SP	1:0

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