Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 19

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday

Location: Stade de la Libération (Boulogne-sur-Mer)

Referee: Leleu M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free


	Boulogne		Montpellier

	1	X	2
	2.9	3	2.25	Watch
	3.1	3.05	2.28	Watch
	3.14	3.2	2.31	Watch
	3	3	2.38
	3.21	3.02	2.35	Watch
	3.33	3	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↓ (3.35)	3.05 ↓ (3.28)	2.31 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boulogne
29.7%

Draw
30.3%

Montpellier
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

28.5%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boulogne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Montpellier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	30.8%	30.8%

Boulogne - Montpellier Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Boulogne will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Montpellier will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boulogne: 12% – 65%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Boulogne (votes: 1 - 50%). Montpellier (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Montpellier (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Montpellier (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Boulogne (votes: 1 - 25%). Montpellier (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Kone I. (G) 18. Thiam D. 25. Gourville S. 12. Boyer J. 5. Zohore N. (C) 3. Burlet V. 10. El Farissi A. 22. Duflos S. 19. Binet N. 23. Fatar N. 17. Fatou C.	50. Dzodic V. (G) 29. Tchato E. 15. Laporte J. 27. Omeragic B. (C) 21. Mincarelli L. 23. Mouanga Y. 77. Junior Pereira da Silva E. 18. Pays N. 11. Savanier T. 8. Issoufou Y. 19. Mendy A.
Substitutes
14. Bultel J. 11. Keita S. 77. Kouassi E. 9. Lecolier M. 90. Martin J. 15. Pinot A. 30. Uriev A. (G)	44. Chennahi T. 3. El Hannach N. 10. Fayad K. 6. Jullien C. 7. Mbuku N. 1. Michel M. (G) 14. Orakpo V.
Coaches
Dagneaux F.	Camara Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Laporte J. 🟨,
30', Fatar N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fatar N. ↓, Lecolier M. ↑,
58', Junior Pereira da Silva E. ↓, Chennahi T. ↑,
59', 1 - 0, Fatou C. ⚽, Binet N. (A),
68', Duflos S. ↓, Bultel J. ↑,
69', Fatou C. ↓, Keita S. ↑,
69', Pays N. ↓, Mbuku N. ↑,
70', Issoufou Y. ↓, Fayad K. ↑,
78', Gourville S. 🟨,
80', El Farissi A. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
84', Thiam D. 🟨,
90', Thiam D. ↓, Kouassi E. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation) and 9).

In recent matches, Montpellier has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Montpellier may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Boulogne: Martin J. (Leg Injury) Mpembele Boula E. (Inactive) Raillot L. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Montpellier: Ngosso G. (Knee Injury) Sainte-Luce T. (Injury) Sishuba A. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Boulogne: Capuano G. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Montpellier: Chennahi T. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Boulogne won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Montpellier: 4.88% Boulogne: 0.43%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Montpellier	8	4	3	1	8:5	3	15
16	Boulogne	8	0	6	2	4:6	-2	6

Last Results with these Odds

Boulogne - the odds 3.35 are the expected chance of winning is 27.88%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Boulogne
French Ligue 2
03.01.26	Guingamp - Boulogne	3:0 ✺
15.12.25	Boulogne - Troyes	1:2 ✺
05.12.25	Clermont - Boulogne	1:1 ✺
21.11.25	Boulogne - Grenoble	3:1 ✺
07.11.25	Dunkerque - Boulogne	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LLTWT
- Montpellier HSC
Coupe De France
11.01.26	Metz - Montpellier	0:4 ✺
French Ligue 2
05.01.26	Montpellier - Dunkerque	1:3 ✺
Coupe De France
19.12.25	Canet Roussillon - Montpellier	0:1 ✺
French Ligue 2
13.12.25	Grenoble - Montpellier	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Montpellier - Pau	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
23.09.25	Montpellier - Boulogne	1:3

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