The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bournemouth 64%
Draw 22.2%
Birmingham City 13.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.2%
25.5%
18.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
69.4%
20.6%
14.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bournemouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bournemouth's performance.
Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bournemouth, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
76.2%
11.1%
12.7%
Bournemouth - Birmingham City Predictions
Users Predictions:
63 users predict this event. Bournemouth will win (votes: 48 - 76.2%). Birmingham will win (votes: 8 - 12.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 11.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Bournemouth: 65.7% – 86.7%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs) and 18).
Bournemouth has the most likely position - 2 (41.35%), has project points - 83, has currently - 52, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (42%), has a good chance of promoted (60%), has a small chance of win league (9%).
Birmingham has the most likely position - 19 (15.6%), has project points - 53, has currently - 33, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Two teams are playing changeable.
Bournemouth could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Bournemouth is indisputable favorite.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Bournemouth won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 28-11.
Including matches at home between the teams Bournemouth won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.