The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fulham 75.1%
Draw 16.2%
Birmingham City 8.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62%
22.8%
15.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.3%
14.4%
24%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fulham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fulham's performance.
Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Birmingham City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fulham than the current prediction. (-35.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fulham that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+15.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Birmingham City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Fulham - Birmingham City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 17).
Fulham has the most likely position - 1 (57.97%), has project points - 89, has currently - 45, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (20%), has a good chance of promoted (83%), has a good chance of win league (58%).
Birmingham has the most likely position - 18 (9.03%), has project points - 56, has currently - 27, has a small chance of relegated (6%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Both teams are now playing unstable.
Birmingham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Fulham is certain favorite.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Fulham won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16-14.
Including matches at home between the teams Fulham won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-7.
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