Match Info

Premier League - Round 38

Date: 25 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Vitality Stadium (Bournemouth)

Referee: Smith L. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, Showmax, SuperSport OTT 2, SuperSport OTT 3
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 4, TOD
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 9
Belarus	Okko Sport
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	fubo Sports Network 2 DRM
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 7
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 3, Canal+ Live 6
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 9, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now E
India	Disney+ Hotstar, Jiocinema
Indonesia	Vidio
Japan	U-NEXT
Malaysia	Astro Go
Mexico	Tubi TV
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	Sky Sport NOW
Nigeria	SuperSport OTT 2, SuperSport OTT 3
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	TV3, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Viaplay
South-africa	SuperSport OTT 2, SuperSport OTT 3
South-korea	SPOTV Now
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Thailand	True ID, True Sport 5
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Peacock TV Premium, Peacock TV, SiriusXM FC
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+, ON Plus


	Bournemouth		Leicester City

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.5	8
	1.32	5.75	8.25
	1.3	6.2	9.8	Watch
	1.33	6.06	8.86
	1.32	6.01	8.64	Watch
	1.3	5.5	8
	1.36	6.01	8.25	Watch
	1.3	6.2	9.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.38)	5.9 ↑ (5.11)	8.7 ↑ (8.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Bournemouth
72.7%

Draw
16.3%

Leicester City
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.5%

18.8%

11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.4%

18%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bournemouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Leicester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	11.5%	26.9%

Bournemouth - Leicester City Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Bournemouth will win (votes: 16 - 61.5%). Leicester will win (votes: 7 - 26.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bournemouth: 42.8% – 80.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Bournemouth (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Leicester (votes: 8 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Leicester (3.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Bournemouth (1.90) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Bournemouth (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Leicester (votes: 10 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Arrizabalaga K. (G) 15. Smith A. (C) 27. Zabarnyi I. 5. Senesi M. 3. Kerkez M. 12. Adams T. 7. Brooks D. 16. Tavernier M. 19. Kluivert J. 24. Semenyo A. 9. Evanilson	41. Stolarczyk J. (G) 2. Justin J. 4. Coady C. (C) 3. Faes W. 16. Kristiansen V. 22. Skipp O. 24. Soumare B. 35. McAteer K. 18. Ayew J. 33. Thomas L. 20. Daka P.
Substitutes
22. Araujo J. 40. Dennis W. (G) 23. Hill J. 2. Huijsen D. 21. Jebbison D. 8. Scott A. 43. Silcott-Duberry Z. 20. Soler J. 47. Winterburn B.	77. Aluko O. 44. Braybrooke S. 40. Buonanotte F. 91. Evans J. 34. Golding M. 31. Iversen D. (G) 93. Monga J. 5. Okoli C. 21. Pereira R.
Coaches
Iraola A.	van Nistelrooy R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Thomas L. 🟨,
38', Coady C. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
63', Brooks D. ↓, Jebbison D. ↑,
72', Daka P. ↓, Buonanotte F. ↑,
72', Thomas L. ↓, Monga J. ↑,
72', Skipp O. ↓, Pereira R. ↑,
74', 1 - 0, Semenyo A. ⚽, Zabarnyi I. (A),
79', Senesi M. ↓, Huijsen D. ↑,
86', McAteer K. ↓, Evans J. ↑,
88', 2 - 0, Semenyo A. ⚽, Huijsen D. (A),
89', Kristiansen V. ↓, Aluko O. ↑,
90+1', Evanilson ↓, Scott A. ↑,
90+2', Tavernier M. ↓, Soler J. ↑,
90+2', Kluivert J. ↓, Winterburn B. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).

Leicester is Relegated to Championship

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bournemouth won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Bournemouth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bournemouth is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Bournemouth: Christie R. (Groin Injury) Cook L. (Red Card) Ouattara Da. (Groin Injury) Sinisterra L. (Hamstring Injury) Unal E. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Leicester: De Cordova-Reid B. (Muscle Injury) Fatawu I. (Knee Injury) Hermansen M. (Groin Injury) Mavididi S. (Muscle Injury) Winks H. (Coach's decision)

There are questionable in Bournemouth: Hill J. (Knee Injury) Scott A. (Jaw injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Bournemouth won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Bournemouth won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.5:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Bournemouth
English Premier League
20.05.25	Manchester City - Bournemouth	3:1 ✺
10.05.25	Bournemouth - Aston Villa	0:1 ✺
03.05.25	Arsenal - Bournemouth	1:2 ✺
27.04.25	Bournemouth - Manchester United	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	Crystal Palace - Bournemouth	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLWTT
- Leicester City
English Premier League
18.05.25	Leicester City - Ipswich Town	2:0 ✺
11.05.25	Nottingham Forest - Leicester City	2:2 ✺
03.05.25	Leicester City - Southampton	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Leicester City	3:0 ✺
20.04.25	Leicester City - Liverpool	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
05.10.24	Leicester City - Bournemouth	1:0
English FA Cup
27.02.24	Bournemouth - Leicester City	0:1 ET
English Premier League
08.04.23	Leicester City - Bournemouth	0:1
08.10.22	Bournemouth - Leicester City	2:1
12.07.20	Bournemouth - Leicester City	4:1
31.08.19	Leicester City - Bournemouth	3:1
30.03.19	Leicester City - Bournemouth	2:0

Upcoming Matches