Match Info

Premier League - Round 8

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Selhurst Park (London)

Referee: Gillett J. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Crystal Palace		Bournemouth

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.3	3.5
	2.28	3.35	3.25
	2.18	3.44	3.62
	12.72	7.17	1.18	Watch
	2.35	3.41	3.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.34 ↑ (2.19)	4.13 ↑ (3.45)	2.98 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crystal Palace
28.6%

Draw
30%

Bournemouth
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

27.7%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

27.9%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crystal Palace has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crystal Palace's form might have worsened.

Bournemouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bournemouth's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (+14.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crystal Palace, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bournemouth, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	38.6%	25%

Crystal Palace - Bournemouth Predictions

Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Crystal Palace will win (votes: 16 - 37.2%). Bournemouth will win (votes: 11 - 25.6%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 37.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crystal Palace: 22.8% – 51.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Bournemouth (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Henderson D. (G) 26. Richards C. 5. Lacroix M. 6. Guehi M. (C) 2. Munoz D. 18. Kamada D. 20. Wharton A. 3. Mitchell T. 7. Sarr I. 10. Pino Y. 14. Mateta J.	1. Petrovic D. (G) 20. Jimenez A. 18. Diakite B. 5. Senesi M. 3. Truffert A. 12. Adams T. 8. Scott A. 16. Tavernier M. (C) 19. Kluivert J. 24. Semenyo A. 22. Kroupi E. J.
Substitutes
44. Benitez W. (G) 23. Canvot J. 17. Clyne N. 55. Devenny J. 21. Esse R. 19. Hughes W. 8. Lerma J. 9. Nketiah E. 24. Sosa B.	21. Adli A. 2. Araujo J. 10. Christie R. 4. Cook L. 40. Dennis W. (G) 11. Doak B. 23. Hill J. 44. Milosavljevic V. 15. Smith A.
Coaches
Glasner O.	Iraola A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2', Semenyo A. 🟨,
7', 0 - 1, Kroupi E. J. ⚽,
38', 0 - 2, Kroupi E. J. ⚽,
40', Adams T. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
51', Senesi M. 🟨,
62', Pino Y. 🟨,
64', Pino Y. ↓, Nketiah E. ↑,
64', 1 - 2, Mateta J. ⚽, Munoz D. (A),
67', Scott A. ↓, Christie R. ↑,
69', 2 - 2, Mateta J. ⚽,
75', Jimenez A. ↓, Hill J. ↑,
75', Kroupi E. J. ↓, Adli A. ↑,
76', Kluivert J. ↓, Doak B. ↑,
89', 2 - 3, Christie R. ⚽, Tavernier M. (A),
90', Christie R. 🟨,
90+1', Tavernier M. ↓, Cook L. ↑,
90+7', 3 - 3, Mateta J. (Pen),

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crystal Palace won 1.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Crystal Palace may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Crystal Palace might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Crystal Palace: Doucoure C. (Knee Injury) Kporha C. (Back Injury) Riad C. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Bournemouth: Smith A. (Thigh Injury) Soler J. (International duty)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Crystal Palace won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:16. (average 1.2:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Crystal Palace won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crystal Palace
English Premier League
05.10.25	Everton - Crystal Palace	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
02.10.25	Dynamo Kyiv - Crystal Palace	0:2 ✺
English Premier League
27.09.25	Crystal Palace - Liverpool	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	West Ham United - Crystal Palace	1:2 ✺
English League Cup
16.09.25	Crystal Palace - Millwall	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LWWWW
- AFC Bournemouth
English Premier League
03.10.25	Bournemouth - Fulham	3:1 ✺
27.09.25	Leeds United - Bournemouth	2:2 ✺
21.09.25	Bournemouth - Newcastle United	0:0 ✺
13.09.25	Bournemouth - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:1 ✺
30.08.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Bournemouth	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
19.04.25	Crystal Palace - Bournemouth	0:0
26.12.24	Bournemouth - Crystal Palace	0:0
02.04.24	Bournemouth - Crystal Palace	1:0
06.12.23	Crystal Palace - Bournemouth	0:2
13.05.23	Crystal Palace - Bournemouth	2:0
31.12.22	Bournemouth - Crystal Palace	0:2
English League Cup
15.09.20	Bournemouth - Crystal Palace	1:0 penalties

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