Match Info

Premier League - Round 31

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday

Location: Vitality Stadium (Bournemouth)

Referee: Attwell S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
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Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Sport 24, Sport 24 At Sea


	Bournemouth		Manchester United

	1	X	2
	3	3.5	2
	3.3	3.65	2.15
	3.31	3.85	2.15
	3.27	3.88	2.14	Watch
	3.2	3.6	2.05
	3.35	3.88	2.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (2.89)	3.73 ↓ (3.81)	2.11 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bournemouth
29.4%

Draw
25.5%

Manchester United
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

25.2%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

25%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bournemouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.7%	22.6%	67.7%

Bournemouth - Manchester United Predictions

Users Predictions: 60 users predict this event. Bournemouth will win (votes: 6 - 10%). Man Utd will win (votes: 42 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Man Utd: 58.4% – 81.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Man Utd (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Man Utd (2.10) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Manchester United will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Man Utd (votes: 8 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Petrovic D. (G) 20. Jimenez A. 23. Hill J. 5. Senesi M. 3. Truffert A. 8. Scott A. 10. Christie R. (C) 37. Rayan 16. Tavernier M. 21. Adli A. 9. Evanilson	31. Lammens S. (G) 2. Dalot D. 15. Yoro L. 5. Maguire H. 23. Shaw L. 18. Casemiro 37. Mainoo K. 16. Diallo A. 8. Fernandes B. (C) 10. Cunha M. 19. Mbeumo B.
Substitutes
7. Brooks D. 18. Diakite B. 11. Doak B. 22. Kroupi E. J. 29. Mandas C. (G) 44. Milosavljevic V. 15. Smith A. 27. Toth A. 26. Unal E.	1. Bayindir A. (G) 39. Fletcher T. 33. Fredricson T. 26. Heaven A. 12. Malacia T. 7. Mount M. 30. Sesko B. 25. Ugarte M. 11. Zirkzee J.
Coaches
Iraola A.	Carrick M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Casemiro 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
59', Jimenez A. 🟨,
61', 0 - 1, Fernandes B. (Penalty Awarded),
67', 1 - 1, Christie R. ⚽, Truffert A. (A),
71', Mbeumo B. ↓, Sesko B. ↑,
71', 1 - 2, Hill J. (Own goal),
73', Adli A. ↓, Brooks D. ↑,
73', Jimenez A. ↓, Smith A. ↑,
73', Christie R. ↓, Kroupi E. J. ↑,
78', Maguire H. 🟥,
81', 2 - 2, Kroupi E. J. (Penalty Awarded),
82', Cunha M. ↓, Heaven A. ↑,
82', Casemiro ↓, Ugarte M. ↑,
87', Rayan ↓, Doak B. ↑,
90+2', Smith A. 🟨,
90+5', Sesko B. 🟨,
90+6', Diallo A. ↓, Mount M. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bournemouth won 1.

Recent performances by Bournemouth have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Man Utd is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Man Utd might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Bournemouth: Cook L. (Hamstring Injury) Kluivert J. (Knee Injury) Soler J. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Man Utd: Dorgu P. (Hamstring Injury) Martinez Li. (Calf Injury) de Ligt M. (Back Injury)

There are questionable in Bournemouth: Adams T. (Injury)

There are questionable in Man Utd: Mazraoui N. (Illness)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Bournemouth won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 24:37. (average 1.3:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Bournemouth won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1:1.5).

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Bournemouth: 0.37%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Manchester Utd	5	1	2	2	8:8	0	5
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6:8	-2	3

Last Results with these Odds

Bournemouth - the odds 2.89 are the expected chance of winning is 33.23%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Bournemouth
English Premier League
14.03.26	Burnley - Bournemouth	0:0 ✺
03.03.26	Bournemouth - Brentford	0:0 ✺
28.02.26	Bournemouth - Sunderland	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	West Ham United - Bournemouth	0:0 ✺
10.02.26	Everton - Bournemouth	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TTTTW
- Manchester United
English Premier League
15.03.26	Manchester United - Aston Villa	3:1 ✺
04.03.26	Newcastle United - Manchester United	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Manchester United - Crystal Palace	2:1 ✺
23.02.26	Everton - Manchester United	0:1 ✺
10.02.26	West Ham United - Manchester United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
15.12.25	Manchester United - Bournemouth	4:4
Premier League Summer Series
30.07.25	Manchester United - Bournemouth	4:1
English Premier League
27.04.25	Bournemouth - Manchester United	1:1
22.12.24	Manchester United - Bournemouth	0:3
13.04.24	Bournemouth - Manchester United	2:2
09.12.23	Manchester United - Bournemouth	0:3
20.05.23	Bournemouth - Manchester United	0:1

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