Match Info

Date: 8 March 2022, Tuesday


	Bournemouth		Peterborough United

	1	X	2
	1.3	5.25	11
	1.32	5	10.5
	1.29	5.6	11.5
	1.28	5.6	9.2
	1.3	5.72	10.79
	1.27	5.25	11
	1.29	6	10.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.39)	5.49 ↑ (4.65)	10.68 ↑ (8.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bournemouth
73.7%

Draw
17.4%

Peterborough United
8.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

20.3%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

78.7%

17.5%

10.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bournemouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bournemouth's performance.

Peterborough United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.6%	3.8%	7.6%

Bournemouth - Peterborough United Predictions

Users Predictions: Bournemouth will win (70 of 79 users predict this - 88.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.6% – 95.62%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs) and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).

Bournemouth has the most likely position - 2 (67.46%), has project points - 85, has currently - 61, has not chance of relegated, has a chance of prom. playoffs (22%), has a good chance of promoted (81%), has a small chance of win league (9%).

Peterborough has the most likely position - 24 (75.05%), has project points - 30, has currently - 21, has a very good chance of relegated (98%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

This event has quality 32, importance 38, match rating 35. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Bournemouth is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Peterborough has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Peterborough could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bournemouth is absolute favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Bournemouth won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Bournemouth won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Bournemouth
English League Championship
05.03.22	Preston North End - Bournemouth	2:1 ✺
26.02.22	Bournemouth - Stoke City	2:1 ✺
12.02.22	Blackpool - Bournemouth	1:2 ✺
09.02.22	Bournemouth - Birmingham City	3:1 ✺
English FA Cup
06.02.22	Bournemouth - Boreham Wood	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWWL
- Peterborough United
English League Championship
04.03.22	Huddersfield Town - Peterborough United	3:0 ✺
English FA Cup
01.03.22	Peterborough United - Manchester City	0:2 ✺
English League Championship
26.02.22	Peterborough United - Hull City	0:3 ✺
23.02.22	Fulham - Peterborough United	2:1 ✺
19.02.22	Derby County - Peterborough United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
29.09.21	Peterborough United - Bournemouth	0:0

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