Match Info

Date: 5 March 2022, Saturday


	Preston North End		Bournemouth

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.2	2.3
	3.2	3.2	2.3
	3.5	3.25	2.25
	3.1	3.15	2.31
	3.36	3.21	2.39
	3.1	3.2	2.3
	3.14	3.38	2.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↓ (3.5)	3.23 ↓ (3.43)	2.32 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Preston North End
29.4%

Draw
29.5%

Bournemouth
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

27.3%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.6%

21%

59.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Preston North End has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Bournemouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Preston North End than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Preston North End that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (+18.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bournemouth could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Preston North End - Bournemouth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs)).

Preston has the most likely position - 14 (15.8%), has project points - 62, has currently - 47, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Bournemouth has the most likely position - 2 (64.55%), has project points - 87, has currently - 61, has not chance of relegated, has a chance of prom. playoffs (18%), has a good chance of promoted (85%), has a chance of win league (17%).

This event has quality 50, small importance 29, match rating 40. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Preston won 3.

Recent matches Preston is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bournemouth is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bournemouth could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Bournemouth will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Preston won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Preston won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Preston North End
English League Championship
26.02.22	Coventry City - Preston North End	1:1 ✺
22.02.22	Preston North End - Nottingham Forest	0:0 ✺
19.02.22	Preston North End - Reading	2:3 ✺
12.02.22	Peterborough United - Preston North End	0:1 ✺
09.02.22	Preston North End - Huddersfield Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TTLWT
- AFC Bournemouth
English League Championship
26.02.22	Bournemouth - Stoke City	2:1 ✺
12.02.22	Blackpool - Bournemouth	1:2 ✺
09.02.22	Bournemouth - Birmingham City	3:1 ✺
English FA Cup
06.02.22	Bournemouth - Boreham Wood	0:1 ✺
English League Championship
29.01.22	Barnsley - Bournemouth	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
03.11.21	Bournemouth - Preston North End	1:2
06.03.21	Preston North End - Bournemouth	1:1
01.12.20	Bournemouth - Preston North End	2:3
English League Cup
20.09.16	Bournemouth - Preston North End	2:3 ET
22.09.15	Preston North End - Bournemouth	2:3 penalties
English League One
16.02.13	Preston North End - Bournemouth	2:0
25.08.12	Bournemouth - Preston North End	1:1

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