Match Info

Primera A - Clausura - Round 6

Date: 11 August 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio La Independencia (Tunja)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	Fanatiz
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz


	Boyacá Chicó		Deportivo La Equidad

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.9	3.1	Watch
	2.2	3	3.1
	2.5	3.03	3.13
	2.37	2.83	3.39	Watch
	2.25	3	3.25
	2.49	3.04	3.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.11)	2.97 ↓ (3.11)	3.17 ↓ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boyacá Chicó
39.1%

Draw
31.4%

Deportivo La Equidad
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

30.3%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

30.7%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boyacá Chicó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Boyacá Chicó's form might have worsened.

Deportivo La Equidad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boyacá Chicó than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo La Equidad than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	60%	0%

Boyacá Chicó - Deportivo La Equidad Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Boyacá Chicó will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Boyacá Chicó (votes: 1 - 33.3%). La Equidad (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Denis D. (G) 17. Ampudia J. 2. Salas F. 26. Banguero A. 3. Quiceno J. 27. Londono K. (C) 7. Arango E. 18. Johan Bocanegra 11. Ramirez Raigosa D. A. 5. Jordan J. 9. Molina J.	32. Gomez Palacio Y. A. (G) 13. Abonia Y. 4. Rodas M. (C) 2. Vivas C. 26. Gomez Mosquera Y. A. 5. Masllorens J. 10. Mayo S. 14. Colorado J. 23. Castilla J. 7. Micolta Piedahita J. 30. Parra Atehortua K.
Substitutes
1. Caicedo Vasquez R. A. (G) 28. Camargo E. 19. Cortes K. 77. Dieppa A. 14. Garcia E. 30. Gomez M. 8. Hernandez V. 4. Peralta E. 29. Prada J.	1. Beltran E. (G) 18. Bolivar J. 17. Chaverra F. 6. Copete D. 8. Monaco M. 16. Montano B. 9. Valencia J.
Coaches
Torres F.	Merino D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Quiceno J. ↓, Hernandez V. ↑,
51', Vivas C. 🟨,
57', Micolta Piedahita J. ↓, Chaverra F. ↑,
57', Mayo S. ↓, Monaco M. ↑,
65', Parra Atehortua K. ↓, Bolivar J. ↑,
70', Molina J. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
71', Ramirez Raigosa D. A. ↓, Camargo E. ↑,
78', Castilla J. 🟥,
79', Masllorens J. ↓, Copete D. ↑,
83', Johan Bocanegra 🟨,
86', Chaverra F. 🟨,
88', Johan Bocanegra ↓, Prada J. ↑,
90+4', Gomez Palacio Y. A. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boyacá Chicó won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Boyacá Chicó will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Boyacá Chicó won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 23:37. (average 1.2:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Boyacá Chicó won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.9:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boyacá Chicó
Colombian Primera A
02.08.25	Junior Barranquilla - Boyacá Chicó	2:0 ✺
26.07.25	Boyacá Chicó - Deportivo Pasto	2:2 ✺
23.07.25	Llaneros SA - Boyacá Chicó	2:1 ✺
19.07.25	Boyacá Chicó - Independiente Medellín	2:0 ✺
12.07.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Boyacá Chicó	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LTLWT
- Deportivo La Equidad
Colombian Primera A
01.08.25	Deportivo La Equidad - Unión Magdalena	0:1 ✺
27.07.25	Envigado - Deportivo La Equidad	1:1 ✺
23.07.25	Deportivo La Equidad - Millonarios	1:0 ✺
19.07.25	Atlético Nacional - Deportivo La Equidad	3:1 ✺
13.07.25	Deportivo La Equidad - Rionegro Águilas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
21.02.25	Deportivo La Equidad - Boyacá Chicó	0:1
29.10.24	Boyacá Chicó - Deportivo La Equidad	1:0
07.04.24	Deportivo La Equidad - Boyacá Chicó	4:0
09.09.23	Deportivo La Equidad - Boyacá Chicó	0:0
31.07.23	Boyacá Chicó - Deportivo La Equidad	0:2
28.03.23	Boyacá Chicó - Deportivo La Equidad	3:1
23.03.23	Deportivo La Equidad - Boyacá Chicó	2:2

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