Match Info

Date: 5 March 2022, Saturday


	Norwich City		Brentford

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.1	2.5
	2.9	3.1	2.55
	3.15	3.2	2.55
	2.95	3	2.55
	3.06	3.16	2.64
	2.9	3	2.6
	3.06	3.18	2.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.88)	3.11 ↓ (3.18)	2.57 ↑ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Norwich City
32%

Draw
30.8%

Brentford
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

29.9%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

21.2%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Norwich City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Brentford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Norwich City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brentford than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brentford, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Norwich City - Brentford Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 15).

Norwich has the most likely position - 20 (62.13%), has project points - 27, has currently - 17, has a good chance of relegated (92%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has not chance of win league.

Brentford has the most likely position - 16 (17.86%), has project points - 37, has currently - 24, has a chance of relegated (22%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has not chance of win league.

This event has quality 59, importance 36, match rating 47. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Norwich won 3.

Two teams has got a chain of failures in the last matches.

Brentford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Norwich won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 22-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Norwich won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Norwich City
English FA Cup
02.03.22	Liverpool - Norwich City	2:1 ✺
English Premier League
25.02.22	Southampton - Norwich City	2:0 ✺
19.02.22	Liverpool - Norwich City	3:1 ✺
12.02.22	Norwich City - Manchester City	0:4 ✺
09.02.22	Norwich City - Crystal Palace	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLLT
- Brentford FC
English Premier League
26.02.22	Brentford - Newcastle United	0:2 ✺
19.02.22	Arsenal - Brentford	2:1 ✺
12.02.22	Brentford - Crystal Palace	0:0 ✺
09.02.22	Manchester City - Brentford	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
05.02.22	Everton - Brentford	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
06.11.21	Brentford - Norwich City	1:2
English League Championship
03.03.21	Norwich City - Brentford	1:0
27.10.20	Brentford - Norwich City	1:1
01.01.19	Brentford - Norwich City	1:1
27.10.18	Norwich City - Brentford	1:0
27.01.18	Brentford - Norwich City	0:1
22.12.17	Norwich City - Brentford	1:2

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