The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Derby County 24.1%
Draw 29.1%
Brentford 46.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.5%
27.4%
48%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.7%
20.9%
62.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Brentford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Derby County that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brentford than the current prediction. (+16.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brentford could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
13.5%
11.5%
75%
Derby County - Brentford Predictions
Users Predictions:
104 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 14 - 13.5%). Brentford will win (votes: 78 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 11.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Brentford: 66.7% – 83.3%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 and 4 in the zone Promotion to Championship (Play Offs)).
Derby has a small chance of relegated (10%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.
Brentford has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of prom. playoffs (61%), has a good chance of promoted (57%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).
Derby is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Brentford is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Derby could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Brentford will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 14 head-to-head matches Derby won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 23-19.
Including matches at home between the teams Derby won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-5.
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