The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Brentford 60.4%
Draw 24.2%
Derby County 15.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.5%
24.4%
17.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
72%
19.8%
13.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brentford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brentford than the current prediction. (+11.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brentford, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
72.2%
15.2%
12.7%
Brentford - Derby County Predictions
Users Predictions:
79 users predict this event. Brentford will win (votes: 57 - 72.2%). Derby will win (votes: 10 - 12.7%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 15.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Brentford: 62.3% – 82.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 7 and 23 in the zone Relegation).
Brentford has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (38%), has a chance of promoted (39%), has a small chance of win league (14%).
Derby has a chance of relegated (37%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Brentford is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Derby is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Brentford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Brentford is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Brentford to win the game is with odds 1.58.
Last 13 head-to-head matches Brentford won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 19-23.
Including matches at home between the teams Brentford won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-8.