Match Info

Premier League - Round 5

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Craven Cottage (London)

Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Venezuela	Disney+, Inter


	Fulham		Brentford

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.25	3.6
	2.2	3.3	3.5
	2.21	3.35	3.69
	1.35	4.39	10.47	Watch
	2.1	3.4	3.3
	2.1	3.35	3.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.03)	3.51 ↓ (3.6)	4.74 ↑ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fulham
50.1%

Draw
28.7%

Brentford
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fulham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Brentford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brentford might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fulham than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brentford than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
39.2%	19.6%	41.2%

Fulham - Brentford Predictions

Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Fulham will win (votes: 20 - 40%). Brentford will win (votes: 20 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fulham: 26.4% – 53.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Fulham (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Brentford (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Brentford (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Brentford (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Fulham (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Brentford (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leno B. (G) 2. Tete K. 5. Andersen J. (C) 3. Bassey C. 30. Sessegnon R. 20. Lukic S. 16. Berge S. 8. Wilson H. 24. King J. 17. Iwobi A. 9. Rodrigo Muniz	1. Kelleher C. (G) 33. Kayode M. 4. van den Berg S. 22. Collins N. (C) 5. Pinnock E. 23. Lewis-Potter K. 18. Yarmolyuk Y. 6. Henderson J. 24. Damsgaard M. 9. Thiago I. 7. Schade K.
Substitutes
10. Cairney T. 21. Castagne T. 19. Chukwueze S. 15. Cuenca J. 7. Jimenez R. 22. Kevin 23. Lecomte B. (G) 32. Smith Rowe E. 11. Traore A.	20. Ajer K. 14. Carvalho F. 3. Henry R. 2. Hickey A. 27. Janelt V. 8. Jensen M. 15. Onyeka F. 19. Ouattara Da. 12. Valdimarsson H. R. (G)
Coaches
Silva M.	Andrews K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Damsgaard M. ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Iwobi A. ⚽, Rodrigo Muniz (A),
40', 2 - 1, Wilson H. ⚽, Iwobi A. (A),
43', King J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 3 - 1, Pinnock E. (Own goal),
53', Lukic S. 🟨,
65', Thiago I. ↓, Ouattara Da. ↑,
66', Lewis-Potter K. ↓, Henry R. ↑,
67', King J. ↓, Kevin ↑,
69', Collins N. 🟨,
74', Henderson J. ↓, Janelt V. ↑,
74', Pinnock E. ↓, Ajer K. ↑,
80', Rodrigo Muniz ↓, Jimenez R. ↑,
80', Iwobi A. ↓, Smith Rowe E. ↑,
81', Leno B. 🟨,
86', Lukic S. ↓, Cairney T. ↑,
86', Wilson H. ↓, Cuenca J. ↑,
87', Damsgaard M. ↓, Carvalho F. ↑,
90+3', Kevin 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fulham won 3.

Fulham has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Brentford is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Fulham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Fulham might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Brentford: Gustavo Nunes (Hamstring Injury) Maghoma P. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fulham won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:36. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Fulham won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 1.4:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fulham FC
English Premier League
13.09.25	Fulham - Leeds United	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Chelsea - Fulham	2:0 ✺
English League Cup
27.08.25	Fulham - Bristol City	2:0 ✺
English Premier League
24.08.25	Fulham - Manchester United	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Fulham	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLWTT
- Brentford FC
English League Cup
16.09.25	Brentford - Aston Villa	2:1 penalties ✺
English Premier League
13.09.25	Brentford - Chelsea	2:2 ✺
30.08.25	Sunderland - Brentford	2:1 ✺
English League Cup
26.08.25	Bournemouth - Brentford	0:2 ✺
English Premier League
23.08.25	Brentford - Aston Villa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
18.05.25	Brentford - Fulham	2:3
04.11.24	Fulham - Brentford	2:1
04.05.24	Brentford - Fulham	0:0
19.08.23	Fulham - Brentford	0:3
Club Friendly
23.07.23	Fulham - Brentford	3:2
English Premier League
06.03.23	Brentford - Fulham	3:2
20.08.22	Fulham - Brentford	3:2

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