What is the expert prediction for Brentford vs Manchester United?

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Brentford vs Manchester United Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, September 27, 2025)

Match Info

Premier League - Round 6

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Brentford Community Stadium (London)

Referee: Pawson C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	beIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, Star Sports 3 Asia, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
Azerbaijan	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 1
Belgium	Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 5, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	Amazon Prime Video
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	CANAL+ Foot, CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 6, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	SÝN Sport
India	Disney+ Hotstar, Star Sports 3, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1, SuperSport 2
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	Sky Sport Premier League
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 1, V Sport Premier League 1
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	Voyo
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	Hub Premier 1, Hub Premier 2
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport Premier League
South-america	ESPN South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	Amazon Prime Video
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 3
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Ultimate
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fubo Sports Network, NBC Sports App, NBC Universo, NBC, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW, USA Network
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
World	Sport 24 Extra


	Brentford		Manchester United

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.75	2.05
	3.3	3.8	2.1
	3.5	3.82	2.13
	3.6	3.85	2.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↑ (2.93)	3.81 ↓ (3.83)	2.08 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brentford
28.2%

Draw
25.4%

Manchester United
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

24.9%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

24.9%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brentford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brentford than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.2%	7.9%	61.9%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 62 users predict this event. Brentford will win (votes: 19 - 30.6%). Man Utd will win (votes: 38 - 61.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 8.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Man Utd: 49.2% – 73.4%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 38 high ROI users predict this event. Brentford (votes: 9 - 23.7%). Man Utd (votes: 27 - 71.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 5.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH +2 - Brentford (1.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Brentford (1.75) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +0.5 - Man Utd (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Brentford (2.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Brentford (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 44 high ROI users predict this event. Brentford (votes: 13 - 29.5%). Man Utd (votes: 29 - 65.9%). Tie (votes: 2 - 4.5%).

Score Prediction (the most likely result by bookmakers): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kelleher C. (G) 33. Kayode M. 22. Collins N. (C) 4. van den Berg S. 2. Hickey A. 6. Henderson J. 18. Yarmolyuk Y. 19. Ouattara Da. 24. Damsgaard M. 7. Schade K. 9. Thiago I.	1. Bayindir A. (G) 4. de Ligt M. 5. Maguire H. 23. Shaw L. 2. Dalot D. 25. Ugarte M. 8. Fernandes B. (C) 13. Dorgu P. 19. Mbeumo B. 10. Cunha M. 30. Sesko B.
Substitutes
20. Ajer K. 3. Henry R. 27. Janelt V. 8. Jensen M. 23. Lewis-Potter K. 17. Milambo A. 15. Onyeka F. 5. Pinnock E. 12. Valdimarsson H. R. (G)	33. Fredricson T. 22. Heaton T. (G) 26. Heaven A. 31. Lammens S. (G) 35. Leon D. 37. Mainoo K. 7. Mount M. 15. Yoro L. 11. Zirkzee J.
Coaches
Andrews K.	Amorim R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Thiago I. ⚽, Henderson J. (A),
20', 2 - 0, Thiago I. ⚽,
26', 2 - 1, Sesko B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Fernandes B. 🟨,
66', Ugarte M. ↓, Mainoo K. ↑,
66', Maguire H. ↓, Yoro L. ↑,
72', Collins N. 🟨,
75', Hickey A. ↓, Henry R. ↑,
75', Ouattara Da. ↓, Lewis-Potter K. ↑,
76', Fernandes B. (Pen),
80', Schade K. 🟨,
81', Henderson J. ↓, Onyeka F. ↑,
81', Damsgaard M. ↓, Janelt V. ↑,
81', Shaw L. ↓, Mount M. ↑,
84', Dorgu P. 🟨,
85', Dorgu P. ↓, Zirkzee J. ↑,
90', Thiago I. ↓, Jensen M. ↑,
90+5', 3 - 1, Jensen M. ⚽, Yarmolyuk Y. (A),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brentford won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Brentford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Man Utd might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Brentford: Gustavo Nunes (Hamstring Injury) Maghoma P. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Man Utd: Casemiro (Red Card) Martinez Li. (Knee Injury) Mazraoui N. (Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Brentford won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 1.6:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Brentford won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 2.5:1.8).

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Last Results with these Odds

Brentford - the odds 2.93 are the expected chance of winning is 32.5%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brentford FC
English Premier League
20.09.25	Fulham - Brentford	3:1 ✺
English League Cup
16.09.25	Brentford - Aston Villa	2:1 penalties ✺
English Premier League
13.09.25	Brentford - Chelsea	2:2 ✺
30.08.25	Sunderland - Brentford	2:1 ✺
English League Cup
26.08.25	Bournemouth - Brentford	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 LWTLW
- Manchester United
English Premier League
20.09.25	Manchester United - Chelsea	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Manchester City - Manchester United	3:0 ✺
30.08.25	Manchester United - Burnley	3:2 ✺
English League Cup
27.08.25	Grimsby Town - Manchester United	3:2 penalties ✺
English Premier League
24.08.25	Fulham - Manchester United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
04.05.25	Brentford - Manchester United	4:3
19.10.24	Manchester United - Brentford	2:1
30.03.24	Brentford - Manchester United	1:1
07.10.23	Manchester United - Brentford	2:1
05.04.23	Manchester United - Brentford	1:0
13.08.22	Brentford - Manchester United	4:0
02.05.22	Manchester United - Brentford	3:0

Brentford - Manchester United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide