Match Info

Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs - Final

Date: 3 June 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Mario Rigamonti (Brescia)


	Brescia		Ascoli

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.82	2.78	2.62	Watch
	3.08	2.78	2.7
	3.03	2.6	2.68	Watch
	2.9	2.63	2.5
	2.99	2.89	2.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.51)	2.74 ↓ (2.91)	2.62 ↓ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brescia
31.1%

Draw
33.7%

Ascoli
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

31.5%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

30.6%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brescia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brescia's form might have worsened.

Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brescia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	40%	30%

Brescia - Ascoli Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Brescia will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Ascoli will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
66. Gori S. (G) 8. Balestrero D. (C) 28. Silvestri L. 24. Boci B. 82. Armati L. 6. Mercati A. 14. Mallamo A. 18. De Maria V. 20. Zennaro M. 27. Lamesta A. 99. Crespi V.	1. Vitale S. (G) 23. Alagna M. 30. Curado M. 33. Rizzo N. 17. Guiebre A. 80. Corradini G. 4. Damiani S. 7. Silipo A. 25. Rizzo Pinna A. 15. D'Uffizi S. 35. Gori G.
Substitutes
80. Beldenti S. 30. Cantamessa S. 97. Cazzadori D. 11. Cisco A. 22. Damioli M. (G) 21. Fogliata R. 44. Guglielmotti D. 1. Liverani L. (G) 17. Maistrello T. 93. Marras M. 42. Moretti L. 5. Pasini N. 3. Rizzo A. 45. Valente M. 9. Vido L.	24. Bando A. 46. Barosi D. (G) 9. Corazza S. 10. Del Sole F. 22. Dente R. (G) 14. Galuppini F. 45. Gorica K. 62. Milanese T. 6. Ndoj E. 11. Oviszach E. 2. Pagliai G. 28. Palazzino F. 5. Rama A. 60. Zagari R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Rizzo Pinna A. ⚽,
12', 1 - 1, Crespi V. ⚽,
21', Corradini G. 🟨,
31', De Maria V. 🟨,
40', D'Uffizi S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Rizzo Pinna A. ↓, Milanese T. ↑,
56', Gori G. ↓, Chakir M. A. ↑,
63', Lamesta A. ↓, Marras M. ↑,
63', Zennaro M. ↓, Fogliata R. ↑,
63', De Maria V. ↓, Rizzo A. ↑,
84', Mercati A. 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

Brescia is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ascoli has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Brescia	9	5	4	0	16:6	10	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Brescia
Italian Serie C Group A
27.05.26	Brescia - Salernitana	2:0 ✺
24.05.26	Salernitana - Brescia	1:1 ✺
20.05.26	Brescia - Casarano	0:0 ✺
17.05.26	Casarano - Brescia	0:3 ✺
25.04.26	Inter U23 - Brescia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WTTWW
- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
27.05.26	Catania - Ascoli	2:1 ✺
24.05.26	Ascoli - Catania	4:0 ✺
20.05.26	Ascoli - Potenza	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	Potenza - Ascoli	0:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
26.04.26	Campobasso - Ascoli	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWWTL

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