Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 6

Date: 10 December 2024, Tuesday

Location: Stade de Roudourou (Guingamp)

Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv Football
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport Austria 8
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 8, Pickx+ Sports 8, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Brazil	Max
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	CANAL+ Sport, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 9
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Sony LIV
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 258
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 3
Malta	TSN Malta 8
Mexico	HBO Max, MAX
Montenegro	Arena Sport 3
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	TV2 Play
Pakistan	Tapmad
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Canal+ Extra 7
Portugal	DAZN 6
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport PPV 3
Russia	Okko Sport
Slovakia	Voyo
South-america	ESPN 6 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 8
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 8
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 7
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Inter
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Disney+, JioTV app


	Brest		PSV Eindhoven

	1	X	2
	5	4.2	1.65
	4.8	4	1.65
	4.95	4.2	1.68
	5.29	4.2	1.67
	5.21	4.12	1.67	Watch
	5	4	1.65
	5.27	4.25	1.68
	4.95	4.2	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.06 ↑ (3.07)	4.15 ↑ (3.49)	1.67 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brest
19%

Draw
23.2%

PSV Eindhoven
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

27.5%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

26.3%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brest's form might have worsened.

PSV Eindhoven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting PSV Eindhoven's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brest than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brest, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (-14.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for PSV Eindhoven, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.3%	19.8%	70.9%

Brest - PSV Eindhoven Predictions

Users Predictions: 84 users predict this event. Brest will win (votes: 7 - 8.3%). PSV will win (votes: 60 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 20.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PSV: 61.7% – 81.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Bizot M. (G) 6. Fernandes E. 25. Le Cardinal J. 5. Chardonnet B. (C) 3. Ndiaye A. 22. Haidara M. 10. Del Castillo R. 45. Camara M. 8. Magnetti H. 9. Doumbia K. 14. Balde M.	1. Benitez W. (G) 2. Karsdorp R. 6. Flamingo R. 18. Boscagli O. 32. Dams M. 34. Saibari I. 17. Mauro Junior 7. Tillman M. 11. Bakayoko J. 9. de Jong L. (C) 10. Lang N.
Substitutes
23. Amavi J. 11. Camblan A. 30. Coudert G. (G) 46. Irie P. 50. Jauny N. (G) 7. Lala K. 26. Pereira Lage M. 34. Salah I. 17. Sima A.	16. Drommel J. (G) 37. Ledezma R. 27. Lozano H. 4. Obispo A. 35. Oppegard F. 14. Pepi R. 24. Schiks N. (G) 22. Schouten J. 20. Til G. 23. Veerman J.
Coaches
Roy E.	Bosz P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', Dams M. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Le Cardinal J. ⚽, Balde M. (A),
45+2', Le Cardinal J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Karsdorp R. ↓, Ledezma R. ↑,
46', Dams M. ↓, Veerman J. ↑,
56', Le Cardinal J. ↓, Pereira Lage M. ↑,
58', Del Castillo R. 🟨,
64', Tillman M. 🟨,
69', Balde M. ↓, Sima A. ↑,
73', Bakayoko J. ↓, Lozano H. ↑,
73', de Jong L. ↓, Pepi R. ↑,
84', Chardonnet B. 🟨,
84', Tillman M. ↓, Til G. ↑,
86', Veerman J. 🟨,
88', Doumbia K. ↓, Salah I. ↑,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium.

Brest is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

PSV is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recently Brest have a series of guest games.

In this match PSV is a favorite.

There will not play in Brest: Ajorque L. (Yellow Cards) Coulibaly S. (Groin Injury) Lees-Melou P. (Shin Injury) Locko B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Martin J. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in PSV: Dest S. (Knee Injury) Fofana F. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Brest: Faivre R. (Ankle Injury) Lala K. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in PSV: Schouten J. (Shoulder Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Brestois 29
French Ligue 1
06.12.24	Lille - Brest	3:1 ✺
30.11.24	Brest - Strasbourg	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.11.24	Barcelona - Brest	3:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
22.11.24	Monaco - Brest	3:2 ✺
10.11.24	Montpellier - Brest	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LWLLL
- PSV Eindhoven
Dutch Eredivisie
06.12.24	PSV Eindhoven - Twente	6:1 ✺
01.12.24	Utrecht - PSV Eindhoven	2:5 ✺
UEFA Champions League
27.11.24	PSV Eindhoven - Shakhtar Donetsk	3:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
23.11.24	PSV Eindhoven - Groningen	5:0 ✺
09.11.24	NAC Breda - PSV Eindhoven	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWWW

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