Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 29

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stade Francis-Le Blé (Brest)

Referee: Millot B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bolivia	ESPN 3
Brazil	Caze TV
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+, ESPN 3
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Ecuador	ESPN 3
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Israel	Sport 5 Max
Italy	Ligue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Paraguay	ESPN 3
Peru	ESPN 3
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Voyo
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 4, Arena Sport 4
Slovakia	Nova Sport 2, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	ESPN 3, Inter
World	Onefootball


	Brest		Strasbourg

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.5	2.15	Watch
	3.35	3.55	2.12	Watch
	3.39	3.65	2.19
	3.14	3.37	2.28	Watch
	3.1	3.3	2.15
	3.34	3.59	2.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (2.85)	3.49 ↑ (3.4)	2.18 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brest
29.2%

Draw
27.2%

Strasbourg
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

27.6%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

27.3%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brest than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.6%	29.6%	40.7%

Brest - Strasbourg Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Brest will win (votes: 8 - 29.6%). Strasbourg will win (votes: 11 - 40.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 29.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Strasbourg: 22.2% – 59.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Brest (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Coudert G. (G) 77. Lala K. 71. Le Guen R. 4. Diaz Jr. M. 27. Guindo D. 13. Chotard J. 8. Magnetti H. (C) 10. Del Castillo R. 23. Doumbia K. 7. Dina Ebimbe J. 19. Ajorque L.	39. Penders M. (G) 22. Doue G. (C) 2. Omobamidele A. 24. Hogsberg L. 42. Ouattara A. 32. Barco V. 29. El Mourabet S. 7. Moreira D. 11. Nanasi S. 20. Godo M. 19. Enciso J.
Substitutes
17. Balde M. 29. Diop S. 50. Jauny N. (G) 14. Labeau Lascary R. 39. Lassus A. 33. Makalou H. 99. Mboup P. 24. Tousart L. 12. Zogbe L.	27. Amo-Ameyaw S. 17. Amougou M. 3. Chilwell B. 34. Dieme Y. 1. Johnsson K. (G) 83. Luis R. 28. Noubissie T. 8. Oyedele M. 80. Yassine G.
Coaches
Roy E.	O'Neil G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Barco V. ⚽, Nanasi S. (A),
13', 1 - 1, Ajorque L. ⚽, Lala K. (A),
20', 1 - 2, Nanasi S. ⚽, Enciso J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Dina Ebimbe J. ↓, Labeau Lascary R. ↑,
72', Moreira D. ↓, Amo-Ameyaw S. ↑,
77', Doumbia K. ↓, Makalou H. ↑,
78', Del Castillo R. ↓, Mboup P. ↑,
82', Godo M. ↓, Dieme Y. ↑,
83', Chotard J. ↓, Tousart L. ↑,
84', Magnetti H. ↓, Balde M. ↑,
85', Dieme Y. 🟨,
90+2', Barco V. ↓, Noubissie T. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brest won 3.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Strasbourg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Brest: Coulibaly S. (Leg Injury)

There will not play in Strasbourg: Anselmino A. (Knee Injury) Emegha E. (Muscle Injury) Panichelli J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Brest: Chardonnet B. (Ribs Injury) Locko B. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Strasbourg: Barco V. (Ankle Injury) El Mourabet S. (Injury) Nanasi S. (Illness)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Brest won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:18. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Brest won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.7:1.1).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Strasbourg: 0.64% Brest: 0.35%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10:10	0	7
11	Brest	5	1	2	2	7:8	-1	5

Last Results with these Odds

Brest - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 32.94%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Strasbourg - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 39.48%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Brestois 29
French Ligue 1
10.05.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Brest	1:0 ✺
03.05.26	Paris FC - Brest	4:0 ✺
24.04.26	Brest - Lens	3:3 ✺
19.04.26	Nantes - Brest	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Brest - Rennes	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLTTL
- RC Strasbourg
French Ligue 1
10.05.26	Angers - Strasbourg	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.05.26	Strasbourg - Rayo Vallecano	0:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
03.05.26	Strasbourg - Toulouse	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.04.26	Rayo Vallecano - Strasbourg	1:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
26.04.26	Lorient - Strasbourg	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
30.11.25	Strasbourg - Brest	1:2
23.02.25	Strasbourg - Brest	0:0
30.11.24	Brest - Strasbourg	3:1
24.02.24	Strasbourg - Brest	0:3
07.12.23	Brest - Strasbourg	1:1
05.03.23	Strasbourg - Brest	0:1
04.09.22	Brest - Strasbourg	1:1

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