Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 8

Date: 29 January 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stade de Roudourou (Guingamp)

Referee: Eskas E. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Afghanistan	Meraj Sport, Solh TV
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Argentina	Fox Sports
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 5, Pickx+ Sports 5, Play Sports Golf
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV
Brazil	Claro TV+, Max, Sky+, TNT, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	ESPN Premium
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	Canal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Sport 360, New World TV
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
Indonesia	beIN Connect, SCTV, Vidio
Israel	5 STARS Israel
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Japan	Wowow Prime
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 2
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Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	Caliente TV App, Caliente TV
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North-central-america	ESPN Norte, SportsMax Caribbean
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Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Canal+ Extra 3
Portugal	DAZN 2
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Serbia	Arena Sport 6
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Slovenia	SportKlub 3
South-africa	SuperSport Grandstand
South-america	ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 2
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 9
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 6
Usa	Paramount+, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
Venezuela	Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus, TV 360
World	Disney+, JioTV app, SportsMax App


	Brest		Real Madrid

	1	X	2
	6.5	5.25	1.4
	6.5	5.25	1.41
	7.5	5.35	1.39	Watch
	7.37	5.5	1.4
	7.06	5.35	1.42	Watch
	7	5	1.4
	6.95	5.39	1.43
	7.5	5.35	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.05 ↑ (6.98)	5.31 ↑ (4.93)	1.41 (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brest
13.6%

Draw
18.1%

Real Madrid
68.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.6%

19.2%

67.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.2%

18.7%

69.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Brest have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brest than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.7%	5.8%	89.5%

Brest - Real Madrid Predictions

Users Predictions: Real Madrid will win (76 of 85 users predict this - 89.41%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.87% – 95.95%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Bizot M. (G) 7. Lala K. 5. Chardonnet B. (C) 44. Coulibaly S. 26. Pereira Lage M. 45. Camara M. 6. Fernandes E. 8. Magnetti H. 9. Doumbia K. 19. Ajorque L. 14. Balde M.	1. Courtois T. (G) 17. Lucas 14. Tchouameni A. 22. Rudiger A. 23. Mendy F. 8. Valverde F. 10. Modric L. (C) 21. Diaz B. 5. Bellingham J. 11. Rodrygo 9. Mbappe K.
Substitutes
30. Coudert G. (G) 10. Del Castillo R. 21. Faivre R. 50. Jauny N. (G) 25. Le Cardinal J. 20. Lees-Melou P. 3. Ndiaye A. 34. Salah I. 17. Sima A.	4. Alaba D. 35. Asencio R. 19. Ceballos D. 16. Endrick 47. Fortuny P. 20. Garcia F. 30. Garcia G. 15. Guler A. 13. Lunin A. (G) 34. Mestre S. (G) 31. Ramon J.
Coaches
Roy E.	Ancelotti C.

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stade de Roudourou.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Real could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Real have a series of home games.

In this match Real is certain favorite.

There will not play in Brest: Amavi J. (Hamstring Injury) Haidara M. (Calf Injury) Le Cardinal J. (Muscle Injury) Locko B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Martin J. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Real: Carvajal D. (Knee Injury) Eder Militao (Knee Injury) Vinicius Junior (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Brest: Lees-Melou P. (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in Real: Camavinga E. (Muscle Injury) Vallejo J. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Brestois 29
French Ligue 1
26.01.25	Le Havre - Brest	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
22.01.25	Shakhtar Donetsk - Brest	2:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
18.01.25	Rennes - Brest	1:2 ✺
Coupe De France
15.01.25	Brest - Nantes	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
11.01.25	Brest - Lyon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WLWWW
- Real Madrid
Spanish LaLiga
25.01.25	Valladolid - Real Madrid	0:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
22.01.25	Real Madrid - Red Bull Salzburg	5:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
19.01.25	Real Madrid - Las Palmas	4:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.01.25	Real Madrid - Celta de Vigo	5:2 ET ✺
Spanish Supercopa
12.01.25	Real Madrid - Barcelona	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWWL

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