The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bristol City 17.9%
Draw 23.3%
Brentford 58.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.4%
24.3%
56.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
16.3%
20.4%
67.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bristol City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
Brentford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brentford than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brentford could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
17.2%
6.9%
75.9%
Bristol City - Brentford Predictions
Users Predictions:
29 users predict this event. Bristol City will win (votes: 5 - 17.2%). Brentford will win (votes: 22 - 75.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for Brentford: 60.3% – 91.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs)).
Brentford is Qualified for Championship (Play Offs)
Bristol City has the most likely position - 19 (61.34%), has project points - 52, has currently - 51, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of prom. playoffs.
Brentford has the most likely position - 3 (100%), has project points - 86, has currently - 84, has not chance of relegated, was already of prom. playoffs, has a chance of promoted (38%), has not chance of win league.
Bristol City is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Brentford is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Bristol City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Brentford have a series of home games.
In this match Brentford is a favorite.
Last 13 head-to-head matches Bristol City won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 12-25.
Including matches at home between the teams Bristol City won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4-13.
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