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Current Win Probability
Brentford 42.7%
Draw 28.7%
Watford 28.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50%
25.9%
24.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.3%
16.7%
37.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brentford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brentford's form might have worsened.
Watford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brentford than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brentford that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Watford than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Watford could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
38.3%
38.3%
23.5%
Brentford - Watford Predictions
Users Predictions:
81 users predict this event. Brentford will win (votes: 31 - 38.3%). Watford will win (votes: 19 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 31 - 38.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Brentford: 27.7% – 48.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 17).
Brentford has the most likely position - 16 (9.63%), has project points - 43, has currently - 17, has a small chance of relegated (14%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Watford has the most likely position - 18 (14.53%), has project points - 38, has currently - 13, has a chance of relegated (37%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Recent matches Brentford is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Watford is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Brentford will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Brentford won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Brentford won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.
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