Match Info

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 12

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Turf Moor (Burnley)

Referee: Kitchen A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Paramount+


	Burnley		Queens Park Rangers

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.6	5.25
	1.66	3.7	5.5
	1.68	3.69	5.38	Watch
	1.68	3.75	5.63
	1.71	3.73	5.09	Watch
	1.7	3.6	5.5
	1.69	3.72	5.3	Watch
	1.68	3.69	5.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.82)	3.69 ↑ (3.57)	5.38 ↑ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burnley
56.6%

Draw
25.8%

Queens Park Rangers
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

26.5%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

25.9%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Queens Park Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queens Park Rangers than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.7%	0%	6.2%

Burnley - Queens Park Rangers Predictions

Users Predictions: Burnley will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Trafford J. (G) 14. Roberts C. 6. Egan-Riley C. 5. Esteve M. 12. Humphreys B. 24. Cullen J. 8. Brownhill J. 30. Koleosho L. 29. Laurent J. 11. Anthony J. 19. Flemming Z.	1. Nardi P. (G) 3. Dunne J. 5. Cook S. 6. Clarke-Salter J. 20. Ashby H. 40. Varane J. 8. Field S. 11. Smyth P. 10. Chair I. 14. Saito K. 18. Celar Z.
Substitutes
48. Agyei E. 39. Dodgson O. 16. Egan J. 32. Hladky V. (G) 37. Hountondji A. 23. Lucas Pires 42. Massengo H. 28. Mejbri H. 9. Rodriguez J.	25. Andersen L. 27. Bennie D. 19. Dixon-Bonner E. 23. Hevertton S. 28. Lloyd A. 24. Madsen N. 21. Morgan K. 29. Shepperd N. (G) 13. Walsh J. (G)
Coaches
Parker S.	Cifuentes M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Celar Z. ↓, Bennie D. ↑,
73', Cullen J. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
73', Humphreys B. ↓, Lucas Pires ↑,
78', Bennie D. 🟨,
80', Chair I. ↓, Andersen L. ↑,
81', Smyth P. ↓, Morgan K. ↑,
81', Anthony J. ↓, Agyei E. ↑,
87', Laurent J. ↓, Hountondji A. ↑,
87', Saito K. ↓, Lloyd A. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Burnley won 3.

Burnley is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

QPR has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

QPR could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Burnley is a favorite.

There will not play in Burnley: Beyer J. (Thigh Injury) Delcroix H. (Muscle Injury) Ekdal H. (Muscle Injury) Foster L. (Knee Injury) Manuel Hedilazio B. (Calf Injury) Ramsey A. (Knee Injury) Redmond N. (Muscle Injury) Tresor Ndayishimiye M. (Leg Injury) Worrall J. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in QPR: Colback J. (Leg Injury) Frey M. (Calf Injury) Morrison L. (Muscle Injury) Paal K. (Thigh Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Burnley won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:8 (average 1.5:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Burnley won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:3 (average 1.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burnley FC
English League Championship
23.10.24	Hull City - Burnley	1:1 ✺
19.10.24	Sheffield Wednesday - Burnley	0:2 ✺
05.10.24	Burnley - Preston North End	0:0 ✺
01.10.24	Burnley - Plymouth Argyle	1:0 ✺
28.09.24	Oxford United - Burnley	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWTWT
- Queens Park Rangers
English League Championship
22.10.24	Queens Park Rangers - Coventry City	1:1 ✺
19.10.24	Queens Park Rangers - Portsmouth	1:2 ✺
05.10.24	Derby County - Queens Park Rangers	2:0 ✺
01.10.24	Queens Park Rangers - Hull City	1:3 ✺
28.09.24	Blackburn Rovers - Queens Park Rangers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
22.04.23	Burnley - Queens Park Rangers	1:2
11.12.22	Queens Park Rangers - Burnley	0:3
02.05.16	Burnley - Queens Park Rangers	1:0
12.12.15	Queens Park Rangers - Burnley	0:0
English Premier League
10.01.15	Burnley - Queens Park Rangers	2:1
06.12.14	Queens Park Rangers - Burnley	2:0
English League Championship
01.02.14	Queens Park Rangers - Burnley	3:3

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