Match Info

League Two - Round 39

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Highbury Stadium (Fleetwood)

Referee: Woods M. (Eng)


	Fleetwood Town		Crawley Town

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.4	4
	1.87	3.6	3.8
	1.82	3.55	4.15
	1.82	3.62	4.39
	1.78	3.65	4.2	Watch
	1.75	3.5	4.2
	1.8	3.54	4.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.91)	3.55 ↑ (3.53)	4.14 ↑ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fleetwood Town
51.3%

Draw
26.2%

Crawley Town
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

26.2%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

26%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fleetwood Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Fleetwood Town - Crawley Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Fleetwood will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Crawley (4.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Crawley (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Lynch J. (G) 26. Rooney S. 35. Haughey C. 5. Potter F. 6. Bonds E. (C) 16. Ennis E. 8. Virtue-Thick M. 10. Helm M. 22. Powell J. 9. Davies W. 17. Evans C.	35. Chapman J. (G) 5. Barker C. 4. Bajrami G. 2. Malone S. 41. Gordon K. 26. Williams J. (C) 32. Richards T. 16. Russell J. 19. Pereira D. 44. Lolos K. 99. Orsi-Dadomo D.
Substitutes
2. Bennett R. 24. Clark M. 37. Hewitson L. (G) 38. McLean C. 20. Neal H. 11. Norwood J. 7. Osong D. E.	22. Adeyemo A. 49. Darcy R. 7. Forster H. 13. McKirdy H. 31. Odimayo A. 12. Richards L.
Coaches
Lawlor M.	Lindsey S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Bajrami G. ↓, Odimayo A. ↑,
34', Helm M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 1 - 0, Evans C. ⚽, Helm M. (A),
58', Lolos K. ↓, Darcy R. ↑,
58', Russell J. ↓, Adeyemo A. ↑,
69', Virtue-Thick M. ↓, Neal H. ↑,
73', Malone S. ↓, Richards L. ↑,
73', Pereira D. ↓, McKirdy H. ↑,
73', Powell J. ↓, Clark M. ↑,
79', Evans C. ↓, Norwood J. ↑,
79', Davies W. ↓, Osong D. E. ↑,
90+3', Neal H. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 21).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Fleetwood may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Fleetwood is the team to beat.

There will not play in Fleetwood: Hume D. (Inactive) McCann L. (Injury)

There will not play in Crawley: Anderson M. (Injury) Cashman D. (Inactive) Vassell T. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Fleetwood: Bolton J. (Inactive) Coughlan R. (Inactive) Mullarkey T. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Crawley: Loft R. (Injury) Richards L. (Inactive)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Fleetwood won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Fleetwood won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Fleetwood	10	2	5	3	10:11	-1	11
24	Crawley	8	1	2	5	8:15	-7	5

Last Results with these Odds

Fleetwood Town - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 48.36%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Crawley Town - the odds 3.63 are the expected chance of winning is 25.44%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fleetwood Town
English League Two
17.03.26	Grimsby Town - Fleetwood Town	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Fleetwood Town - Tranmere Rovers	0:0 ✺
10.03.26	Fleetwood Town - Cheltenham Town	2:2 ✺
07.03.26	Gillingham - Fleetwood Town	1:1 ✺
03.03.26	Walsall - Fleetwood Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LTTTW
- Crawley Town
English League Two
17.03.26	Crawley Town - Barnet	1:1 ✺
13.03.26	Colchester United - Crawley Town	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Crawley Town - Swindon Town	2:2 ✺
28.02.26	Oldham Athletic - Crawley Town	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Crawley Town - Chesterfield	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TTTLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
08.11.25	Crawley Town - Fleetwood Town	2:1
English FA Cup
01.12.19	Crawley Town - Fleetwood Town	1:2
English League One
24.01.15	Fleetwood Town - Crawley Town	1:0
13.09.14	Crawley Town - Fleetwood Town	1:0

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