Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 7 February 2023, Tuesday

Location: Turf Moor (Burnley)

Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Paramount+
Belgium	Eleven Sports


	Burnley		Ipswich Town

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.8	5.25
	1.68	3.7	5.25
	1.68	3.7	5.5
	1.97	3.4	3.6
	1.69	3.81	5.5
	1.63	3.5	5
	1.65	3.85	5.35	Watch
	1.67	3.7	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.95)	3.68 ↑ (3.38)	5.04 ↑ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burnley
55.5%

Draw
25.7%

Ipswich Town
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

27.7%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

27%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Burnley's performance.

Ipswich Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ipswich Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Burnley that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.6%	4.5%	6%

Burnley - Ipswich Town Predictions

Users Predictions: Burnley will win (60 of 67 users predict this - 89.55%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.22% – 96.88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Burnley won 2.

Burnley in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Ipswich is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ipswich could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Burnley is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Burnley to win the game is with odds 1.74.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Burnley won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Burnley won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burnley FC
English League Championship
04.02.23	Norwich City - Burnley	0:3 ✺
English FA Cup
28.01.23	Ipswich Town - Burnley	0:0 ✺
English League Championship
20.01.23	Burnley - West Bromwich Albion	2:1 ✺
14.01.23	Burnley - Coventry City	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
07.01.23	Bournemouth - Burnley	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WTWWW
- Ipswich Town
English League One
04.02.23	Cambridge United - Ipswich Town	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
28.01.23	Ipswich Town - Burnley	0:0 ✺
English League One
24.01.23	Ipswich Town - Morecambe	4:0 ✺
21.01.23	Oxford United - Ipswich Town	2:1 ✺
14.01.23	Ipswich Town - Plymouth Argyle	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
28.01.23	Ipswich Town - Burnley	0:0
English League Championship
02.01.16	Burnley - Ipswich Town	0:0
18.08.15	Ipswich Town - Burnley	2:0
26.04.14	Burnley - Ipswich Town	1:0
19.10.13	Ipswich Town - Burnley	0:1
04.05.13	Burnley - Ipswich Town	2:0
10.11.12	Ipswich Town - Burnley	2:1

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