Match Info

WALES: CYMRU SOUTH - ROUND 11

Date: 27 October 2023, Friday


	Briton Ferry Llansawel		Carmarthen Town

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.85	3.29
	1.83	3.85	3.29
	1.84	3.86	3.34
	1.84	3.85	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.65)	3.85 ↓ (4.04)	3.29 ↓ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Briton Ferry Llansawel
49.2%

Draw
23.4%

Carmarthen Town
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

22.1%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

22.8%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Briton Ferry Llansawel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Carmarthen Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Briton Ferry Llansawel than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Briton Ferry Llansawel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carmarthen Town than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

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Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier and 5).

Recent matches Briton Ferry is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Carmarthen Town is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Briton Ferry could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Briton Ferry will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Briton Ferry won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Briton Ferry won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Briton Ferry Llansawel
Welsh League Cup
23.10.23	Swansea City U21 - Briton Ferry Llansawel	6:0 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
21.10.23	Pontardawe Town - Briton Ferry Llansawel	2:4 ✺
06.10.23	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Goytre United	3:2 ✺
29.09.23	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Abergavenny Town	3:0 ✺
22.09.23	Cambrian United - Briton Ferry Llansawel	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWWL
- Carmarthen Town
Welsh Cymru South
21.10.23	Carmarthen Town - Cambrian United	2:0 ✺
06.10.23	Ammanford - Carmarthen Town	2:2 ✺
30.09.23	Carmarthen Town - Afan Lido	3:3 ✺
22.09.23	Caerau Ely - Carmarthen Town	2:4 ✺
08.09.23	Taffs Well AFC - Carmarthen Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
17.02.23	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Carmarthen Town	1:0
19.11.22	Carmarthen Town - Briton Ferry Llansawel	2:4
11.02.22	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Carmarthen Town	1:1
23.10.21	Carmarthen Town - Briton Ferry Llansawel	1:1
Welsh League Cup
24.09.19	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Carmarthen Town	0:2

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