The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Brown de Adrogué 44%
Draw 32%
UAI Urquiza 24%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44%
29.9%
26.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.5%
29.6%
25.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Brown de Adrogué have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
UAI Urquiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for UAI Urquiza than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Brown de Adrogué - UAI Urquiza Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Wysocki M. (G) 6. Aguirre C. 7. Baldunciel L. 4. Bogado J. 11. Ferrario F. 3. Guerrero B. 9. Meaurio N. 5. Robles E. 2. Sanchez L. 8. Silva J. 10. Sproat M. (C)
1. Rolon J. (G) 8. Albano V. 10. Asprea T. 4. Ciancio V. 7. Galli F. 5. Ibanez E. (C) 9. Marin A. 11. Pesse V. 6. Postel F. 3. Prado F. 2. Rocha T.
Substitutes
15. Castano A. 14. Cesare L. 20. Galeano V. 12. Giovini S. (G) 18. Gonzalez A. 17. Gonzalez L. 19. Lopez B. 16. Patrizio T. 13. Pieres M.
15. Caceres A. 18. Forni L. A. 19. Mesa F. 14. Rodriguez V. 20. Scarcella R. 13. Soria M. 16. Szutiniz A. 12. Viain I. (G) 17. Zapata E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Asprea T. ↓, Scarcella R. ↑,
24', Robles E. 🟨,
33', Rocha T. 🟨,
40', Ciancio V. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 0 - 1, Ibanez E. ⚽,
57', Rocha T. ↓, Forni L. A. ↑,
59', Sproat M. ↓, Lopez B. ↑,
59', Silva J. ↓, Patrizio T. ↑,
64', Ferrario F. ↓, Galeano V. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Aguirre C. (Penalty Awarded),
72', Robles E. ↓, Castano A. ↑,
72', Baldunciel L. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
74', Marin A. ↓, Rodriguez V. ↑,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 and 20).
Recent performances by Brown de Adrogué have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
UAI Urquiza is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Brown de Adrogué might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brown de Adrogué won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Brown de Adrogué won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
19
Brown Adrogue
38
8
15
15
24:37
-13
39
21
UAI Urquiza
38
5
20
13
21:35
-14
35
Last Results with these Odds
UAI Urquiza - the odds 3.5 are the expected chance of winning is 26.13%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.