Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 8

Date: 31 May 2024, Friday

Location: Castelão (Fortaleza)


	Ceará		Coritiba

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	3.5	Watch
	2.15	3	3.3
	2.2	3.1	3.4
	2.27	3.1	3.7
	2.27	3.05	3.7
	2.2	3.1	3.3
	2.23	3.13	3.38	Watch
	2.17	3.05	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (1.93)	3.08 ↓ (3.15)	3.46 ↓ (4.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceará
42.4%

Draw
30.5%

Coritiba
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

29.5%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

28.9%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ceará's form might have worsened.

Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ceará, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Coritiba, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	37.5%	0%

Ceará - Coritiba Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Ceará will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Richard (G) 2. Rai Ramos 55. Jonathan Jesus 4. David Ricardo 21. Paulo Victor 5. Jean Irmer (C) 8. De Lucca 97. Lourenco 11. Aylon 16. Erick Pulga 31. Barcelo F.	72. Pedro Morisco (G) 16. Natanael 5. Mauricio Antonio (C) 26. Bruno Melo 6. Rodrigo Gelado 40. Everton Morelli 36. Vini Paulista 10. Matheus Frizzo 98. Lucas Ronier 9. Leandro Damiao 22. Figueiredo
Substitutes
27. Bruninho 94. Bruno Ferreira (G) 7. Castro F. 99. Guilherme Castilho 77. Janderson 10. Lucas Mugni 79. Matheus Bahia 40. Ramon Menezes 6. Ramos R. 28. Recalde J. 26. Richardson 73. Saulo Mineiro	67. Benassi (G) 4. Benevenuto 21. Brandao 15. Fransergio 87. Gabriel Leite (G) 38. Geovane Meurer 47. Jean Pedroso 43. Jhonny 18. Matheus Bianqui 14. Thalisson 57. Wesley Pomba 17. Yago Ferreira
Coaches
Vagner Mancini	Freitas J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Figueiredo 🟨,
44', Jean Irmer 🟨,
45+1', Natanael 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Vini Paulista ↓, Geovane Meurer ↑,
46', Richard ↓, Bruno Ferreira ↑,
46', Bruno Melo 🟨,
49', 1 - 0, Barcelo F. ⚽, Lourenco (A),
55', Everton Morelli ↓, Fransergio ↑,
55', Lourenco ↓, Guilherme Castilho ↑,
55', Matheus Frizzo ↓, Yago Ferreira ↑,
58', Lucas Ronier 🟨,
68', Aylon ↓, Saulo Mineiro ↑,
68', Jean Irmer ↓, Richardson ↑,
70', Leandro Damiao ↓, Brandao ↑,
70', Lucas Ronier ↓, Wesley Pomba ↑,
75', Paulo Victor 🟨,
79', Paulo Victor ↓, Matheus Bahia ↑,
89', David Ricardo 🟨,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 6 and 7).

Ceará is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Coritiba is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Coritiba could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ceará will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Ceará: Daniel Mazerochi (Injury)

There will not play in Coritiba: Arilson (Injury) Robson (Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ceará won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Ceará won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ceará SC
Brazilian Serie B
26.05.24	Ceará - Chapecoense	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
23.05.24	Ceará - CRB Maceio	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
19.05.24	Operário Ferroviario - Ceará	0:0 ✺
15.05.24	Ceará - Amazonas	2:1 ✺
10.05.24	Grêmio Novorizontino - Ceará	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WLTWW
- Coritiba
Brazilian Serie B
27.05.24	Coritiba - Operário Ferroviario	3:0 ✺
17.05.24	Grêmio Novorizontino - Coritiba	0:0 ✺
14.05.24	Coritiba - Guarani	1:0 ✺
11.05.24	Avaí - Coritiba	1:0 ✺
03.05.24	Coritiba - Sport Recife	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
28.09.22	Coritiba - Ceará	1:0
04.06.22	Ceará - Coritiba	1:1
20.02.21	Coritiba - Ceará	0:2
24.10.20	Ceará - Coritiba	2:1

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