The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Queens Park Rangers 33.5%
Draw 30%
Portsmouth 36.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42.6%
27.7%
29.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.2%
28%
30%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Queens Park Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Queens Park Rangers's form might have worsened.
Portsmouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Portsmouth's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queens Park Rangers than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Queens Park Rangers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Portsmouth, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
70.6%
11.8%
17.6%
Queens Park Rangers - Portsmouth Predictions
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. QPR will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Portsmouth will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for QPR: 48.9% โ 92.3%.
13. Walsh J. (G) 27. Mbengue A. S. 3. Dunne J. (C) 37. Edwards R. 18. Norrington-Davies R. 20. Vale H. 21. Morgan K. 15. Hayden I. 11. Smyth P. 22. Kone R. 26. Kolli R.
1. Schmid N. (G) 24. Devlin T. 5. Poole R. 6. Shaughnessy C. 3. Ogilvie C. 7. Pack M. (C) 8. Swift J. 10. Segecic A. 38. Adams E. 27. Alli M. 40. Brown J.
Substitutes
2. Adamson K. 23. Bennie D. 6. Clarke-Salter J. 5. Cook S. 28. Esquerdinha 29. Hamer B. (G) 17. Poku K. 14. Saito K. 40. Varane J.
9. Bishop C. 29. Blair H. 26. Bursik J. (G) 47. Caballero G. 36. Chaplin C. 55. Dia M. 16. Le Roux L. 22. Swanson Z. 2. Williams J.
Coaches
Stephan J.
Mousinho J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Smyth P. ⚽,
22', Mbengue A. S. 🟨,
24', 2 - 0, Kolli R. ⚽, Smyth P. (A),
29', 3 - 0, Smyth P. ⚽, Vale H. (A),
32', Adams E. 🟨,
32', Hayden I. 🟨,
38', 3 - 1, Swift J. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Segecic A. ↓, Bishop C. ↑,
50', Hayden I. ↓, Varane J. ↑,
55', 4 - 1, Kolli R. ⚽,
59', Shaughnessy C. ↓, Swanson Z. ↑,
60', Brown J. ↓, Caballero G. ↑,
60', Swift J. ↓, Chaplin C. ↑,
65', Smyth P. ↓, Poku K. ↑,
66', Mbengue A. S. ↓, Clarke-Salter J. ↑,
73', Norrington-Davies R. 🟨,
75', Alli M. ↓, Blair H. ↑,
82', Kolli R. ↓, Esquerdinha ↑,
83', Norrington-Davies R. ↓, Bennie D. ↑,
86', 5 - 1, Kone R. (Penalty Awarded),
88', 6 - 1, Kone R. ⚽,
90+2', Devlin T. 🟨,
90+4', Kone R. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 17 and 20).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, QPR won 1.
QPR is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Portsmouth is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in QPR: Burrell R.
(Injury)
Chair I.
(Muscle Injury)
Cook S.
(Injury)
Dembele K.
(Injury)
Larkeche Z.
(Knee Injury)
Obikwu J.
(Knock)
There will not play in Portsmouth: Alese A.
(Muscle Injury)
Anderson K.
(Hamstring Injury)
Dozzell A.
(Ankle Injury)
Knight J.
(Back Injury)
Kosznovszky M.
(Knee Injury)
Murphy J.
(Foot Injury)
Umeh F.
(Hamstring Injury)
Waddingham T.
(Thigh Injury)
There are questionable in QPR: Madsen N.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Portsmouth: Bianchini F.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, QPR won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, QPR won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
Denmark
Finland
Iceland
Netherlands
Norway
Sweden
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Walsh J. (G) 
Mbengue A. S. 
Dunne J. (C) 
Norrington-Davies R. 
Hayden I. 
Smyth P. 
Kone R. 
Kolli R. 
Schmid N. (G) 
Segecic A. 
Adams E. 
Brown J. 
Adamson K. 
Esquerdinha 
Poku K. 
Saito K. 
Varane J. 
Caballero G. 
Le Roux L. 
Stephan J. 
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