Match Info

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 7

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Kassam Stadium (Oxford)

Referee: Linington J. (Eng)


	Oxford United		Burnley

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.75	2
	3.5	3.5	2.05
	3.56	3.56	2.03
	3.68	3.61	2.06
	3.6	3.59	2.03	Watch
	3.6	3.4	2.1
	3.58	3.6	2.03	Watch
	3.56	3.56	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↑ (3.25)	3.57 ↓ (3.58)	2.04 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oxford United
26.7%

Draw
26.6%

Burnley
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

26.4%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

26.4%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oxford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Burnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	9.5%	76.2%

Oxford United - Burnley Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Oxford will win (votes: 3 - 15%). Burnley will win (votes: 15 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burnley: 56% – 94%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cumming J. (G) 30. Kioso P. 5. Moore E. 3. Brown C. 16. Nelson B. 4. Vaulks W. 19. Goodrham T. 20. Rodrigues R. 15. El Mizouni I. 23. Dembele S. 9. Harris M.	1. Trafford J. (G) 6. Egan-Riley C. 12. Humphreys B. 5. Esteve M. 23. Lucas Pires 24. Cullen J. 8. Brownhill J. 30. Koleosho L. 28. Mejbri H. 7. Sarmiento J. 17. Foster L.
Substitutes
17. Dale O. 11. Ebiowei M. 29. Edwards K. 21. Ingram M. (G) 22. Leigh G. 2. Long S. 6. McEachran J. 44. Scarlett D. 14. Sibley L.	48. Agyei E. 11. Anthony J. 3. Dodgson O. 16. Egan J. 32. Hladky V. (G) 37. Hountondji A. 29. Laurent J. 42. Massengo H. 9. Rodriguez J.
Coaches
Buckingham D.	Parker S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Lucas Pires 🟨,
69', Sarmiento J. ↓, Anthony J. ↑,
70', Brownhill J. 🟨,
71', Goodrham T. 🟨,
73', Rodrigues R. ↓, Edwards K. ↑,
74', Dembele S. ↓, Dale O. ↑,
79', Mejbri H. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
79', Foster L. ↓, Hountondji A. ↑,
83', Harris M. ↓, Scarlett D. ↑,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Burnley will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Oxford: Bennett J. (Muscle Injury) Brannagan C. (Muscle Injury) Goodwin W. (Ankle Injury) McEachran J. (Leg Injury) Phillips M. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Burnley: Beyer J. (Thigh Injury) Delcroix H. (Muscle Injury) Ekdal H. (Muscle Injury) Manuel Hedilazio B. (Calf Injury) Ramsey A. (Knee Injury) Redmond N. (Muscle Injury) Tresor Ndayishimiye M. (Leg Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oxford United
English League Championship
21.09.24	Bristol City - Oxford United	2:1 ✺
14.09.24	Oxford United - Stoke City	1:0 ✺
31.08.24	Oxford United - Preston North End	3:1 ✺
English League Cup
27.08.24	Coventry City - Oxford United	1:0 ✺
English League Championship
24.08.24	Blackburn Rovers - Oxford United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWLL
- Burnley FC
English League Championship
21.09.24	Burnley - Portsmouth	2:1 ✺
14.09.24	Leeds United - Burnley	0:1 ✺
31.08.24	Burnley - Blackburn Rovers	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
28.08.24	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Burnley	2:0 ✺
English League Championship
24.08.24	Sunderland - Burnley	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWTLL

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