Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 14

Date: 27 October 2026, Tuesday

Location: Gigg Lane (Bury)


	Bury		Leek Town

	1	X	2
	1.43	4.00	5.20
	1.49	4.92	4.59
	1.51	5.1	4.68	Watch
	1.47	4.85	4.50
	1.45	4.65	4.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.46)	4.7 ↑ (3.95)	4.76 ↓ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bury
61.7%

Draw
19.3%

Leek Town
19%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.4%

22.3%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7%

20.8%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bury has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Leek Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bury than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leek Town than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Bury - Leek Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 8th and 18th).

Bury has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Leek has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Leek could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Leek has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Bury carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Our forecast points to a victory for Bury in today's match, at odds of 1.46.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Bury	11	6	1	4	22:11	11	19
15	Leek	13	3	5	5	26:26	0	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bury FC
English FA Cup
20.10.26	Harrogate Town - Bury	3:1 ✺
17.10.26	Bury - Harrogate Town	1:1 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
10.10.26	Alfreton Town - Bury	2:3 ✺
06.10.26	Stockton Town - Bury	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
03.10.26	Bury - Bromsgrove Sporting	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTWLW
- Leek Town
English NPL Premier Division
17.10.26	Lancaster City - Leek Town	1:2 ✺
10.10.26	Leek Town - Ashton United	2:2 ✺
06.10.26	Leek Town - Warrington Rylands	3:3 ✺
22.09.26	Leek Town - Hyde United	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Redcar Athletic - Leek Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WTTWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bury FC
English FA Trophy
24.10.26	Bury - Prescot Cables	✺
- Leek Town
English FA Trophy
24.10.26	Leek Town - Bootle	✺

Bury - Leek Town: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide